Transition Rates and Efficiency of Collective Variables from Time-Dependent Biased Simulations

Simulations with adaptive time-dependent bias enable an efficient exploration of the conformational space of a system. However, the dynamic information is altered by the bias. Infrequent metadynamics recovers the transition rate of crossing a barrier, if the collective variables are ideal and there is no bias deposition near the transition state. Unfortunately, these conditions are not always fulfilled. To overcome these limitations, and inspired by single-molecule force spectroscopy, we use Kramers' theory for calculating the barrier-crossing rate when a time-dependent bias is added to the system. We assess the efficiency of collective variables parameter by measuring how efficiently the bias accelerates the transitions. We present approximate analytical expressions of the survival probability, reproducing the barrier-crossing time statistics and enabling the extraction of the unbiased transition rate even for challenging cases. We explore the limits of our method and provide convergence criteria to assess its validity.