Related Experiment Video
Updated: Sep 2, 2025
Establishment of a Mouse Severe Acute Pancreatitis Model using Retrograde Injection of Sodium Taurocholate into the Biliopancreatic Duct
Published on: April 1, 2022
Using machine learning models to predict acute pancreatitis in children with pancreaticobiliary maljunction
Xiao Han1, Jia Geng2, Xin-Xian Zhang3
1Department of Radiology, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, 215025, China.
Purpose:
To develop a model to identify risk factors and predictors of acute pancreatitis in children with pancreaticobiliary maljunction (PBM).
Methods:
We screened consecutive PBM patients treated at two centers between January, 2015 and July, 2021. For machine learning, the cohort was divided randomly at a 6:4 ratio to a training dataset and a validation dataset. Three parallel models were developed using logistic regression (LR), a support vector machine (SVM), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), respectively. Model performance was judged primarily based on the area under the receiver operating curves (AUC).
Results:
A total of 99 patients were included in the analysis, 17 of whom suffered acute pancreatitis and 82 did not. The XGBoost (AUC = 0.814) and SVM (AUC = 0.813) models produced similar performance in the validation dataset; both outperformed the LR model (AUC = 0.805). Based on the SHapley Additive exPlanation values, the most important variable in both the XGBoost and SVM models were age, protein plugs, and white blood cell count.
Conclusions:
Machine learning models, especially XGBoost and SVM, could be used to predict acute pancreatitis in children with PBM. The most important contributing factor to the models were age, protein plugs, and white blood cell count.
Related Concept Videos
01:30Acute Pancreatitis II: Clinical Manifestations and Management
01:29Chronic Pancreatitis II: Collaborative Care
Assessment:
01:27Acute Pancreatitis I: Introduction
Acute pancreatitis is characterized by rapid inflammation of the pancreas, often caused by factors like gallstone blockage or excessive alcohol consumption. Chronic pancreatitis, on the other hand, is a slow, progressive inflammation that may result from long-term alcohol abuse, obstructions in the pancreatic duct, or genetic factors.
The causes of acute pancreatitis include:
01:24Chronic Pancreatitis I: Introduction
Pancreatitis is the inflammation of the pancreas, which occurs when the immune system becomes active and causes swelling, pain, and disruptions in organ function. Pancreatitis can manifest as either an acute or chronic condition.
Acute pancreatitis arises suddenly and lasts for a brief duration, while chronic pancreatitis is a long-term affliction...