Global prevalence of cerebral palsy: A systematic analysis
Sarah McIntyre1, Shona Goldsmith1, Annabel Webb1
1Cerebral Palsy Alliance Research Institute, Specialty of Child and Adolescent Health, Sydney Medical School, Faculty of Medicine and Health, The University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia.
Insights
Cerebral palsy (CP) birth prevalence is decreasing in high-income countries, now at 1.6 per 1000 live births. However, prevalence in low- and middle-income countries remains markedly higher, with trends yet to be measured.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Cerebral palsy (CP) is a group of disorders affecting movement and posture, with varying prevalence globally.
- Understanding CP trends is crucial for public health planning and resource allocation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine current global and regional prevalence estimates of cerebral palsy (CP).
- To analyze trends in CP prevalence, distinguishing between pre-/perinatal, postnatal, neonatal, and overall cases.
Main Methods:
- Systematic analysis of data from 41 regions across 27 countries, utilizing CP registers, surveillance systems, and population-based studies (birth year 1995 onwards).
- Quality and risk of bias assessments were performed. Meta-analyses were conducted for prevalence estimates from birth year 2010 onwards.
Main Results:
- Pre-/perinatal CP birth prevalence significantly declined in 11 out of 14 European and Australian regions.
- Current overall CP birth prevalence in high-income countries (HICs) is 1.6 per 1000 live births.
- Data from low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) indicate markedly higher birth prevalence, with pre-/perinatal CP as high as 3.4 per 1000 live births.
Conclusions:
- CP birth prevalence is declining in HICs, but remains significantly higher in LMICs.
- Active surveillance and population-based data are essential for informing policy and assessing the impact of interventions.
Aim:
To determine trends and current estimates in regional and global prevalence of cerebral palsy (CP).
Method:
A systematic analysis of data from participating CP registers/surveillance systems and population-based prevalence studies (from birth year 1995) was performed. Quality and risk of bias were assessed for both data sources. Analyses were conducted for pre-/perinatal, postnatal, neonatal, and overall CP. For each region, trends were statistically classified as increasing, decreasing, heterogeneous, or no change, and most recent prevalence estimates with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated. Meta-analyses were conducted to determine current birth prevalence estimates (from birth year 2010).
Results:
Forty-one regions from 27 countries across five continents were represented. Pre-/perinatal birth prevalence declined significantly across Europe and Australia (11 out of 14 regions), with no change in postneonatal CP. From the limited but increasing data available from regions in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), birth prevalence for pre-/perinatal CP was as high as 3.4 per 1000 (95% CI 3.0-3.9) live births. Following meta-analyses, birth prevalence for pre-/perinatal CP in regions from high-income countries (HICs) was 1.5 per 1000 (95% CI 1.4-1.6) live births, and 1.6 per 1000 (95% CI 1.5-1.7) live births when postneonatal CP was included.
Interpretation:
The birth prevalence estimate of CP in HICs declined to 1.6 per 1000 live births. Data available from LMICs indicated markedly higher birth prevalence.
What This Paper Adds:
• Birth prevalence of pre-/perinatal cerebral palsy (CP) in high-income countries (HICs) is decreasing. • Current overall CP birth prevalence for HICs is 1.6 per 1000 live births. • Trends in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) cannot currently be measured. • Current birth prevalence in LMICs is markedly higher than in HICs. • Active surveillance of CP helps to assess the impact of medical advancements and social/economic development. • Population-based data on prevalence and trends of CP are critical to inform policy.
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