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Published on: February 13, 2021
Prognostic risk stratification based on left ventricular mechanical dyssynchrony in patients at low or intermediate
Masatsugu Miyagawa1, Shunichi Yoda2, Hidesato Fujito1
1Department of Cardiology, Nihon University School of Medicine, 30-1 Oyaguchi-Kamicho, Itabashi-Ku, Tokyo, 173-8610, Japan.
Insights
Stress phase bandwidth (SPBW), a left ventricular (LV) mechanical dyssynchrony index, improves risk stratification for patients with stable coronary artery disease (CAD). Abnormal SPBW identifies higher-risk individuals missed by traditional J-ACCESS risk models, enhancing prognostic prediction.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Nuclear Cardiology
- Cardiovascular Imaging
Background:
- Prognostic prediction and risk stratification in stable coronary artery disease (CAD) are crucial for patient management.
- Existing risk models, such as the J-ACCESS risk model, may not fully identify all individuals at risk, particularly in low-to-intermediate risk groups.
- Left ventricular (LV) mechanical dyssynchrony, assessed by stress phase bandwidth (SPBW), has not been extensively studied for prognostic value in this population.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the prognostic value of SPBW in predicting major cardiac events (MCEs) in patients with known or suspected stable CAD at low or intermediate risk.
- To evaluate if SPBW can improve risk stratification beyond the J-ACCESS risk model.
- To assess the association of SPBW with MCEs, including cardiac death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, and severe heart failure.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 4,996 patients with known or suspected CAD undergoing rest 201Tl and stress 99mTc-tetrofosmin ECG-gated SPECT MPI.
- Patients were risk-stratified using the J-ACCESS risk model into low (n=2,653) or intermediate (n=1,470) risk groups.
- SPBW was calculated using phase analysis, with a normal upper limit set at 38°. Patients were followed for 3 years for MCEs.
Main Results:
- Multivariate analysis identified age, eGFR, stress LV ejection fraction, and stress SPBW as independent predictors of MCEs.
- The 3-year MCE rate was significantly higher in intermediate-risk (6.7%) versus low-risk (2.1%) patients (P < 0.0001).
- Patients with abnormal SPBW (>38°) showed higher MCE rates (4.0% in low-risk, 9.2% in intermediate-risk), indicating improved risk stratification.
Conclusions:
- LV mechanical dyssynchrony, assessed by SPBW using ECG-gated SPECT MPI, is a valuable tool for risk stratification in stable CAD patients.
- SPBW can identify higher-risk patients within low- and intermediate-risk categories who might be missed by conventional risk assessment.
- Incorporating SPBW assessment into routine practice may enhance prognostic prediction and guide clinical decision-making for CAD patients.
Abstract:
There have been no reports on prognostic prediction and risk stratification based on stress phase bandwidth (SPBW), or a left ventricular (LV) mechanical dyssynchrony index, in patients with known or suspected stable coronary artery disease (CAD) at low or intermediate risk of major cardiac events (MCEs) using the J-ACCESS risk model. We retrospectively investigated 4,996 consecutive patients with known or suspected CAD who underwent rest 201Tl and stress 99mTc-tetrofosmin electrocardiogram (ECG)-gated single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) and followed up for 3 years to confirm their prognosis. MCE risk over 3 years was estimated using an equation based on that used in the J-ACCESS study. The composite endpoint was the onset of MCEs consisting of cardiac death, non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), and severe heart failure requiring hospitalization. SPBW was calculated by phase analysis with the Heart Risk View-F software and its normal upper limit was set to 38°. Based on the estimated 3-year incidence of MCEs obtained from the J-ACCESS risk model, 4,123 of the 4,996 consecutive patients were classified as low (n = 2,653) or intermediate risk (n = 1,470) and they were analyzed for follow-up. During the follow-up, 153 patients experienced MCEs: cardiac death (n = 38), non-fatal MI (n = 45), and severe heart failure (n = 70). The results of the multivariate analysis showed age, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), stress LV ejection fraction, and stress SPBW to be independent predictors of MCEs. The actual 3-year MCE rate in patients at intermediate risk was significantly higher than in those at low risk (6.7% vs. 2.1%, P < 0.0001). However, the actual 3-year MCE rate in patients with abnormal SPBW (> 38°) was 4.0% and 9.2% in low- and intermediate-risk patients, respectively, which corresponded to intermediate and high risk. Kaplan-Meier analysis also showed significant risk stratification by normal SPBW values for both low- and intermediate-risk patients. LV mechanical dyssynchrony assessed with ECG-gated SPECT MPI is useful for risk stratification of known or suspected stable CAD patients at low or intermediate risk of MCEs and may help identify higher risk patients who could not be identified as being at risk based on J-ACCESS risk assessment.
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