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Ability of a modified Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score to predict mortality among sepsis patients in a
Bodin Khwannimit1, Rungsun Bhurayanontachai1, Veerapong Vattanavanit1
1Division of Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Hat Yai, Thailand.
Background:
Some variables of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score are not routinely measured in sepsis patients, especially in countries with limited resources. Therefore, this study was conducted to evaluate the accuracy of the modified SOFA (mSOFA) and compared its ability to predict mortality in sepsis patients to that of the original SOFA score.
Methods:
Sepsis patients admitted to the medical intensive care unit of Songklanagarind Hospital between 2011 and 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. The primary outcome was all-cause in-hospital mortality.
Results:
A total of 1,522 sepsis patients were enrolled. The mean SOFA and mSOFA scores were 9.7±4.3 and 8.8±3.9, respectively. The discrimination of the mSOFA score was significantly higher than that of the SOFA score for all-cause in-hospital mortality (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.891 [95% confidence interval, 0.875-0.907] vs. 0.879 [0.862-0.896]; P<0.001), all-cause intensive care unit (ICU) mortality (0.880 [0.863-0.898] vs. 0.871 [0.853-0.889], P=0.01) and all-cause 28-day mortality (0.887 [0.871-0.904] vs. 0.874 [0.856-0.892], P<0.001). The ability of mSOFA score to predict all-cause in-hospital and 28-day mortality was higher than that of the SOFA score within the subgroups of sepsis according to age, sepsis severity and serum lactate levels. The mSOFA score was demonstrated to have a performance similar to the original SOFA score regarding the prediction of mortality in sepsis patients with cirrhosis or hepatic dysfunction.
Conclusions:
The mSOFA score was a good alternative to the original SOFA core in predicting mortality among sepsis patients admitted to the ICU.
Insights
The modified Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (mSOFA) score accurately predicts mortality in sepsis patients, offering a valuable alternative to the original SOFA score, especially in resource-limited settings. This sepsis mortality prediction tool demonstrates improved accuracy.
Area of Science:
- Critical Care Medicine
- Sepsis Pathophysiology
- Clinical Scoring Systems
Background:
- The original Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score has limitations in routine sepsis monitoring, particularly in resource-constrained environments.
- Certain SOFA variables are not consistently measured, impacting its utility for timely sepsis assessment.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the accuracy of the modified SOFA (mSOFA) score in predicting mortality in sepsis patients.
- To compare the predictive performance of the mSOFA score against the original SOFA score.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 1,522 sepsis patients admitted to a medical intensive care unit (2011-2018).
- Primary outcome: all-cause in-hospital mortality.
- Comparison of SOFA and mSOFA scores using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.
Main Results:
- The mSOFA score demonstrated significantly higher discrimination for all-cause in-hospital mortality (AUC 0.891 vs. 0.879), ICU mortality (AUC 0.880 vs. 0.871), and 28-day mortality (AUC 0.887 vs. 0.874).
- mSOFA's predictive ability for in-hospital and 28-day mortality was superior across subgroups based on age, sepsis severity, and lactate levels.
- mSOFA showed comparable performance to SOFA in predicting mortality for patients with cirrhosis or hepatic dysfunction.
Conclusions:
- The modified SOFA (mSOFA) score serves as a reliable alternative to the original SOFA score for predicting mortality in ICU-admitted sepsis patients.
- mSOFA offers a practical and accurate tool for sepsis outcome prediction, particularly where SOFA components are not routinely available.
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