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Coupling coordination between new urbanisation and carbon emissions in China
Jikun Jiang1, Shenglai Zhu1, Weihao Wang2
1School of Management Engineering, Qingdao University of Technology, Qingdao 266520, China.
China
Area of Science:
- Environmental Science
- Urban Planning
- Sustainable Development
Background:
- Coordinating new urbanisation and carbon emissions (NU-CE) is vital for sustainable urban planning in China.
- Understanding the temporal and spatial dynamics of NU-CE coupling is crucial for effective policy development.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the past and future coordination states of new urbanisation and carbon emissions in China.
- To analyze the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of the NU-CE coupling relationship across 30 provinces.
- To propose policy recommendations for enhancing NU-CE coordination.
Main Methods:
- An improved coupling coordination degree (CCD) model was utilized.
- Spatial auto-correlation analysis was employed to assess spatial dependencies.
- Grey GM(1,1) prediction model forecasted future CCD trends.
Main Results:
- New urbanisation levels are rising with significant spatial heterogeneity, concentrated in eastern coastal areas.
- Carbon emissions show slight fluctuations with regional disparities, lowest in Shanxi and Inner Mongolia.
- NU-CE coupling coordination degree continuously improved, exhibiting a declining pattern from east to west.
- Positive spatial correlation in NU-CE CCD was observed, with high-high clusters shifting centrally and low-low clusters moving northwestward.
- Future predictions indicate a growing trend in NU-CE coordination and strengthening spatial correlations.
Conclusions:
- China's NU-CE systems demonstrate improving coordination, albeit with persistent spatial inequalities.
- Policy interventions should address regional differences to foster balanced low-carbon urbanisation.
- Future trends suggest enhanced coordination, necessitating proactive strategies for sustainable urban development.
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