Predicting Total Drug Clearance and Volumes of Distribution Using the Machine Learning-Mediated Multimodal Method...

Pharmacokinetic research plays an important role in the development of new drugs. Accurate predictions of human pharmacokinetic parameters are essential for the success of clinical trials. Clearance (CL) and volume of distribution (Vd) are important factors for evaluating pharmacokinetic properties, and many previous studies have attempted to use computational methods to extrapolate these values from nonclinical laboratory animal models to human subjects. However, it is difficult to obtain sufficient, comprehensive experimental data from these animal models, and many studies are missing critical values. This means that studies using nonclinical data as explanatory variables can only apply a small number of compounds to their model training. In this study, we perform missing-value imputation and feature selection on nonclinical data to increase the number of training compounds and nonclinical datasets available for these kinds of studies. We could obtain novel models for total body clearance (CL_tot) and steady-state Vd (Vd_ss) (CL_tot: geometric mean fold error [GMFE], 1.92; percentage within 2-fold error, 66.5%; Vd_ss: GMFE, 1.64; percentage within 2-fold error, 71.1%). These accuracies were comparable to the conventional animal scale-up models. Then, this method differs from animal scale-up methods because it does not require animal experiments, which continue to become more strictly regulated as time passes.