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Modelling kidney outcomes based on MELD eras - impact of MELD score in renal endpoints after liver transplantation
Paulo Ricardo Gessolo Lins1,2, Roberto Camargo Narciso3, Leonardo Rolim Ferraz3
1Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein, São Paulo, Brazil. pr.lins@uol.com.br.
Background:
Acute kidney injury is a common complication in solid organ transplants, notably liver transplantation. The MELD is a score validated to predict mortality of cirrhotic patients, which is also used for organ allocation, however the influence of this allocation criteria on AKI incidence and mortality after liver transplantation is still uncertain.
Methods:
This is a retrospective single center study of a cohort of patients submitted to liver transplant in a tertiary Brazilian hospital: Jan/2002 to Dec/2013, divided in two groups, before and after MELD implementation (pre-MELD and post MELD). We evaluate the differences in AKI based on KDIGO stages and mortality rates between the two groups.
Results:
Eight hundred seventy-four patients were included, 408 in pre-MELD and 466 in the post MELD era. The proportion of patients that developed AKI was lower in the post MELD era (p 0.04), although renal replacement therapy requirement was more frequent in this group (p < 0.01). Overall mortality rate at 28, 90 and 365 days was respectively 7%, 11% and 15%. The 1-year mortality rate was lower in the post MELD era (20% vs. 11%, p < 0.01). AKI incidence was 50% lower in the post MELD era even when adjusted for clinically relevant covariates (p < 0.01).
Conclusion:
Liver transplants performed in the post MELD era had a lower incidence of AKI, although there were more cases requiring dialysis. 1-year mortality was lower in the post MELD era, suggesting that patient care was improved during this period.
Insights
The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score implementation in liver transplantation reduced acute kidney injury (AKI) incidence. However, post-MELD liver transplants saw increased dialysis needs but lower overall mortality rates.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Hepatology
- Transplantation Medicine
Background:
- Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a frequent complication following solid organ transplantation, particularly in liver transplant recipients.
- The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, used for cirrhotic patient mortality prediction and organ allocation, has an uncertain impact on AKI and mortality post-liver transplant.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the influence of MELD score implementation on the incidence of AKI and mortality rates in liver transplant patients.
- To compare AKI rates based on KDIGO stages and mortality between pre-MELD and post-MELD eras.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective single-center study of liver transplant patients from January 2002 to December 2013.
- Patients were divided into two groups: pre-MELD implementation and post-MELD implementation.
- AKI incidence (KDIGO stages) and mortality rates were assessed and compared between the two groups.
Main Results:
- A lower proportion of patients developed AKI in the post-MELD era (p=0.04), with a 50% reduction even after covariate adjustment (p<0.01).
- Renal replacement therapy (dialysis) was more frequent in the post-MELD group (p<0.01).
- The 1-year mortality rate was significantly lower in the post-MELD era (11% vs. 20%, p<0.01).
Conclusions:
- Liver transplants performed after MELD implementation showed a reduced incidence of AKI.
- Despite an increased need for dialysis post-MELD, the overall 1-year mortality decreased, suggesting improved patient management and outcomes.
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