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Published on: July 24, 2016
Balancing national economic policy outcomes for sustainable development
Mohammed Basheer1, Victor Nechifor2,3, Alvaro Calzadilla2
1Department of Mechanical, Aerospace and Civil Engineering, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
This study introduces a national policy framework using AI and simulations to help policymakers balance economic, social, and environmental goals for sustainable development. It identifies efficient policy portfolios to achieve poverty reduction, economic growth, and climate mitigation.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Science
- Economic Policy
- Social Science
Background:
- The 2030 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) require balancing economic, social, and environmental progress.
- Designing effective national policies is complex due to multi-sector economies and conflicting objectives.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a national-scale framework for identifying efficient policy portfolios that support multiple SDGs.
- To aid policymakers in navigating complex policy spaces for balanced development outcomes.
Main Methods:
- Integration of economy-wide sustainability simulations with artificial intelligence (AI).
- Utilizing AI-driven multiobjective, multi-SDG policy search and machine learning algorithms.
- Application of the framework in a case study for Egypt.
Main Results:
- Demonstrated utility of the framework in identifying policy portfolios for Egypt.
- Showcased efficient mixes of poverty/inequality reduction, economic growth, and climate change mitigation.
- Highlighted the potential for integrated strategies to balance development impacts.
Conclusions:
- The developed framework enables policymakers to screen efficient policy portfolios for sustainable development.
- Integrated policy strategies are crucial for achieving SDGs while mitigating adverse impacts.
- The approach supports multi-sector, multi-actor policy deliberation for informed decision-making.
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