Parameters of the Lyman Model for Calculation of Normal-Tissue Complication Probability: A Systematic Literature...

The Lyman model is one of the most used radiobiological models for calculation of normal-tissue complication probability (NTCP). Since its introduction in 1985, many authors have published parameter values for the model based on clinical data of different radiotherapeutic situations. This study attempted to collect the entirety of radiobiological parameter sets published to date and provide an overview of the data basis for different variations of the model. Furthermore, it sought to compare the parameter values and calculated NTCPs for selected endpoints with sufficient data available.

A systematic literature analysis was performed, searching for publications that provided parameters for the different variations of the Lyman model in the Medline database using PubMed. Parameter sets were grouped into 13 toxicity-related endpoint groups. For 3 selected endpoint groups (≤25% reduction of saliva 12 months after irradiation of the parotid, symptomatic pneumonitis after irradiation of the lung, and bleeding of grade 2 or less after irradiation of the rectum), parameter values were compared and differences in calculated NTCP values were analyzed.

A total of 509 parameter sets from 130 publications were identified. Considerable heterogeneities were detected regarding the number of parameters available for different radio-oncological situations. Furthermore, for the 3 selected endpoints, large differences in published parameter values were found. These translated into great variations of calculated NTCPs, with maximum ranges of 35.2% to 93.4% for the saliva endpoint, of 39.4% to 90.4% for the pneumonitis endpoint, and of 5.4% to 99.3% for the rectal bleeding endpoint.

The detected heterogeneity of the data as well as the large variations of published radiobiological parameters underline the necessity for careful interpretation when using such parameters for NTCP calculations. Appropriate selection of parameters and validation of values are essential when using the Lyman model.