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Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on EEMD-WOA-LSTM Combination Model.
Lei Shao1, Quanjie Guo1, Chao Li1
1School of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Tianjin University of Technology, Tianjin 300384, China.
This study introduces an optimized artificial intelligence model for short-term load forecasting. The whale bionic algorithm enhances long short-term memory networks, significantly improving prediction accuracy and reducing errors.
Area of Science:
- Artificial Intelligence
- Machine Learning
- Electrical Engineering
Background:
- Accurate load forecasting is crucial for efficient power grid management.
- Traditional methods often struggle with the complexities and non-linearities of electrical load data.
- Improving forecasting accuracy remains a key challenge in the energy sector.
Purpose of the Study:
- To enhance artificial intelligence algorithms for improved load forecasting accuracy.
- To develop a novel combined model for short-term load forecasting using optimized neural networks.
- To address the limitations of existing models in achieving precise load predictions.
Main Methods:
- A combined model integrating long short-term memory (LSTM) neural networks with whale bionic optimization (WOA) was proposed.
- Set-based empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) was employed to decompose the load signal into characteristic components.
- The WOA was utilized to optimize LSTM parameters, mitigating local optimization issues and improving prediction accuracy.
Main Results:
- The proposed WOA-LSTM model demonstrated superior performance compared to EEMD-ARMA, RNN, and standard LSTM models.
- The optimized model achieved lower prediction errors and higher forecasting accuracy.
- Decomposition of the signal into components improved the model's ability to capture complex load patterns.
Conclusions:
- The whale bionic optimized LSTM model offers a significant advancement in short-term load forecasting.
- This approach effectively improves prediction accuracy and reduces forecasting errors in power systems.
- The integration of signal decomposition and optimized deep learning provides a robust forecasting solution.


