Association Between COVID-19 Vaccination Coverage and Case Fatality Ratio: a Comparative Study - Hong Kong SAR, China and Singapore, December 2021-March 2022
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Published on: June 5, 2021
Guanhao He1, Sui Zhu2, Di Fu1
1Department of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province, China.
Insights
Low vaccination rates in Hong Kong led to a high Omicron case fatality ratio, unlike Singapore. This highlights the critical need for accessible vaccines, especially for the elderly, to prevent severe outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
- Infectious Diseases
Background:
- Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (SAR), China, and Singapore experienced significant Omicron variant epidemics.
- Hong Kong SAR, China, faced an overwhelmed medical system and a high case fatality ratio (CFR), while Singapore did not.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the reasons behind the differing outcomes of the Omicron epidemic in Hong Kong SAR, China, and Singapore.
- To emphasize the importance of vaccination in mitigating severe outcomes during an epidemic.
Main Methods:
- Comparative analysis of epidemic data between Hong Kong SAR, China, and Singapore.
- Correlation analysis between vaccination coverage and case fatality ratios.
Main Results:
- Low vaccination coverage, particularly among older adults in Hong Kong SAR, China, was identified as a primary driver of its high CFR.
- Singapore's higher vaccination rates likely contributed to its lower CFR.
Conclusions:
- Vaccination is crucial for reducing mortality during Omicron variant epidemics.
- Public health strategies should prioritize increasing vaccination coverage, especially in vulnerable populations like the elderly, to prevent severe outcomes and healthcare system strain.
What Is Already Known About This Topic?:
Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (SAR), China and Singapore are both facing considerable Omicron variant epidemic. However, the overwhelmed medical system and high case fatality ratio (CFR) just occurred in Hong Kong SAR, China but not in Singapore.
What Is Added By This Report?:
The low vaccination coverage in Hong Kong SAR, China, especially among the older adults, is shown to be a primary reason of its recent high CFR.
What Are The Implications For Public Health Practice?:
Facing the potential epidemic risk, non-vaccinated, non-fully-vaccinated, and non-booster-vaccinated people in China, especially the elderly, should get any type of accessible vaccine, which could save lives when the infection unfortunately befalls.
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