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Published on: November 27, 2019
1,5-Anhydroglucitol Predicts Mortality in Patients with HBV-Related Acute-on-chronic Liver Failure
Lingjian Zhang1, Yalei Zhao1, Zhongyang Xie1
1State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Insights
Serum 1,5-anhydroglucitol (1,5AG) levels are significantly lower in non-survivors of Hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF). Lower 1,5AG indicates a poorer prognosis and can be used to predict mortality.
Area of Science:
- Hepatology
- Biochemistry
- Clinical Diagnostics
Background:
- Hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is associated with high mortality.
- 1,5-Anhydroglucitol (1,5AG) has shown activity in chronic liver disease.
- The prognostic value of 1,5AG in HBV-ACLF remains to be elucidated.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the relationship between serum 1,5-anhydroglucitol (1,5AG) levels and prognosis in patients with HBV-ACLF.
- To evaluate 1,5AG as a potential biomarker for predicting mortality in HBV-ACLF.
Main Methods:
- Serum 1,5AG levels were measured in 333 HBV-ACLF patients, including those with and without diabetes.
- Derivation and validation cohorts were established, with controls including patients with chronic hepatitis B, liver cirrhosis, and healthy individuals.
- A novel predictive model (ACTIG) incorporating 1,5AG, age, total bilirubin, cholesterol, and INR was developed.
Main Results:
- Serum 1,5AG levels were significantly lower in non-survivors compared to survivors in both derivation and validation cohorts.
- 1,5AG demonstrated good predictive performance for 28-day mortality (AUC=0.811).
- The ACTIG model showed superior predictive accuracy for 28-day mortality (AUC=0.914) compared to existing prognostic scores.
Conclusions:
- Serum 1,5AG is a promising predictor of short-term mortality in HBV-ACLF patients.
- The ACTIG model, utilizing 1,5AG, offers improved mortality prediction in HBV-ACLF.
- Changes in 1,5AG distribution were observed in a mouse model of liver failure.
Background And Aims:
1,5-Anhydroglucitol (1,5AG) activity has been reported in chronic liver disease. Hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) patients have a high mortality. We aimed to discover the relationship between serum 1,5AG and the prognosis of HBV-ACLF.
Methods:
Serum 1,5AG levels were determined in 333 patients with HBV-ACLF, 300 without diabetes were allocated to derivation (n=206) and validation cohorts (n=94), and 33 were recruited to evaluate 1,5AG in those with diabetes. Forty patients with chronic hepatitis B, 40 with liver cirrhosis, and 40 healthy people were controls in the validation cohort.
Results:
In the derivation and validation cohorts, serum 1,5AG levels were significantly lower in nonsurvivors than in survivors. The AUC of 1,5AG for 28-day mortality was 0.811. In patients with diabetes, serum 1,5AG levels were also significantly lower in nonsurvivors than in survivors. In multivariate Cox regression analysis, serum 1,5AG levels were independently associated with 28-day mortality. A novel predictive model (ACTIG) based on 1,5AG, age, TB, cholesterol, and INR was derived to predict mortality. In ACTIG, the AUC for 28-day mortality was 0.914, which was superior to some prognostic score models. ACTIG was also comparable to those prognostic score models in predicting 6-month mortality. In mice with D-galactosamine/lipopolysaccharide-induced liver failure, 1,5AG levels were significantly reduced in serum and significantly increased in urine and liver tissue.
Conclusions:
Serum 1,5AG levels are a promising predictor of short-term mortality in HBV-ACLF patients. The 1,5AG distribution changed in mice with D-galactosamine/ lipopolysaccharide-induced liver failure.
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