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Updated: Aug 29, 2025

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Published on: May 2, 2025
Body Mass Index Trajectory and Outcome Post Fontan Procedure
Emma Payne1,2, Frances Garden3,4, Yves d'Udekem5
1The University of Sydney Sydney Australia.
Poor infant growth in single ventricle patients undergoing the Fontan procedure is linked to worse long-term outcomes. Early life body mass index (BMI) trajectories, not later BMI, predict severe Fontan failure.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Cardiology
- Congenital Heart Disease
- Growth and Development
Background:
- Single ventricle physiology presents significant challenges, particularly concerning early life growth failure.
- High morbidity and mortality rates are observed in the peri-surgical period for these patients.
- Long-term implications of infant growth and adult body mass index (BMI) in single ventricle survivors remain poorly understood.
Purpose of the Study:
- To model body mass index (BMI) trajectories in patients with a single ventricle who underwent the Fontan procedure.
- To identify differences in baseline characteristics and long-term clinical outcomes based on distinct BMI trajectories.
- To investigate the association between early life growth patterns and severe Fontan failure.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 496 patients from the Australia and New Zealand Fontan Registry (1981-2018).
- Latent class growth analysis used to model BMI trajectories from infancy through adolescence (0-6 months, 6-60 months, 5-16 years).
- Comparison of trajectories against long-term incidence of severe Fontan failure (mortality, heart transplant, takedown, NYHA class III/IV).
Main Results:
- Three distinct BMI trajectories (lower, middle, higher) were identified for both male and female subjects across age groups.
- Patients in the lower BMI trajectory at 0-6 months had a higher likelihood of having an atriopulmonary Fontan.
- A lower BMI trajectory in early life was significantly associated with increased long-term mortality and severe Fontan failure; no association found for higher BMI trajectories or current BMI.
Conclusions:
- Poor growth during early infancy is a significant predictor of increased long-term severe Fontan failure in single ventricle patients.
- Distinct body mass index (BMI) trajectories can be identified and utilized to assess risk in larger, older patient cohorts.
- Further research into optimal BMI targets based on these trajectories may improve long-term patient outcomes.
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