Spatiotemporal variation of childhood hyperthyroidism: a 10-year nationwide study

Childhood hyperthyroidism is mostly caused by Graves' disease, a rare autoimmune disease in children. Epidemiological data are scarce and the variability of within-region incidence is unknown. We aimed to provide the first description of temporal trends in pediatric hyperthyroidism in France and to explore spatial trends, with a view to identifying possible environmental triggers.

We performed an observational population-based study on data collected from the National Health Data System, covering the 2008-2017 period and the whole of France. We identified patients with an indicator reflecting incident cases of treated hyperthyroidism, in children aged 6 months-17.9 years, localized at the scale of the département (equivalent to a county) of residence. We performed descriptive analyses of incidence rate by sex, age, and year, and used a spatiotemporal model for estimation at département level.

We identified 4734 incident cases: 3787 girls (80%) and 947 boys (20%). The crude incidence rate was 3.35 (95% CI: 3.26; 3.45) per 100 000 person-years over the study period. We estimated the increase in incidence between 2008 and 2017 at 30.1% (19.0%; 42.3%). Annual incidence rate increased linearly over the 10-year period in both girls and boys, rising similarly in all age groups and in all départements. The spatial model highlighted marked heterogeneity in the risk of childhood hyperthyroidism across France.

The trend toward increasing incidence observed may reflect changes in genetic and environmental interactions, and the marked spatial heterogeneity may reflect localized ethnic or environmental factors worthy of further investigation.