Serum progesterone level in luteal phase improves pregnancy rate in fresh cycles with blastocyst embryo transfer

To assess the association between serum level of progesterone during stimulation and in the luteal phase with pregnancy rate in a cohort of patients undergoing in vitro fertilization and embryo transfer (IVF-ET) on day 5.

Retrospective Cohort Study. Patients: 62 infertile women, aged 24-42 years, undergoing ART at our center from May 2019 to May 2021. Progesterone was evaluated during ovarian stimulation on Day 2, Day 6, and Day 8 of stimulation, day of trigger (P4dhCG), and on the day of blastocyst transfer with 5 days of progesterone supplementation (P4d5+). We also calculated the difference of P4d5+ with P4dhCG. (∆P4). Then we divided the patients into two groups based on progesterone serum levels at P4d5+; <10ng/ml (Group A), ≥10ng/ml (Group B). The Student's t-test was performed for continuous variables; Mann-Whitney's Test and Spearman's Test were used where appropriate for categorical variables. p<0.05 was considered statistically significant.

There were positive correlations between βhCG positive with P4d5+ (p<0.001; Rho 0.770) and ∆P4 (p<0.001; Rho 0.703). The pregnancy rate doubled when the serum progesterone level was ≥10ng/ml on the fifth day of progesterone supplementation compared with P4<10ng/ml (44% vs. 21%, respectively).

The pregnancy rate was positively correlated with the serum P4 level on the fifth day of progesterone supplementation and with the difference between the serum progesterone level in the Dd5+ / dhCG. A higher pregnancy rate was observed when serum progesterone level on the fifth day of progesterone supplementation was ≥10ng/ml.