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Clinical Characteristics, Complications, and Predictors of Poor Outcome Among Hospitalized Adult COVID-19 Patients: A
Tariq Abdulrahman Tabbakh1,2, Hashem H Alhashemi1,2, Khalid Alharbi3
1Medicine, Ministry of National Guard-Health Affairs, Jeddah, SAU.
Insights
Predictors of poor outcomes in hospitalized COVID-19 patients include comorbidities and organ injuries. Identifying these factors aids in managing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) severity and improving patient prognosis.
Area of Science:
- Infectious Diseases
- Internal Medicine
- Critical Care Medicine
Background:
- International studies have documented COVID-19 outcomes, but national data on predictors of poor outcomes in hospitalized adults are limited.
- This study addresses the need for national insights into clinical characteristics, complications, and predictors of severe COVID-19 outcomes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To describe the clinical features and complications of COVID-19 in hospitalized adult patients.
- To identify predictors associated with poor outcomes, defined as intensive care unit (ICU) admission or death.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study including 527 adult patients admitted to King Abdulaziz Medical City (KAMC)-Jeddah between March 1, 2020, and December 31, 2020.
- Clinical features and complications were analyzed for association with poor outcomes using chi-square and Fisher's exact tests.
- Logistic regression identified predictors of poor outcomes.
Main Results:
- Of 527 patients, 97 (18%) experienced poor outcomes (ICU admission or death). Mortality was 8%.
- Shortness of breath, oxygen saturation <92%, and abnormal chest x-ray findings were associated with poor outcomes (P < 0.001).
- Predictors of poor outcomes included updated Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), liver injury (OR 2.6), acute kidney injury (OR 4.3), and acute cardiac injury (OR 5.1).
Conclusions:
- COVID-19 is linked to substantial morbidity and mortality in hospitalized patients.
- Key predictors of poor outcomes are multiple comorbidities (updated CCI) and organ-specific injuries (liver, kidney, cardiac).
- Patients with multiple comorbidities and/or COVID-19 complications face an increased risk of severe disease progression.
Abstract:
Background Many international studies have reported the outcomes and predictors of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); however, only a few national studies have reported predictors of poor outcomes among adult hospitalized patients with COVID-19. Therefore, this study aimed to describe the clinical characteristics and complications of COVID-19 and identify predictors of poor outcomes. Methods This was a retrospective cohort study. All adult patients confirmed with COVID-19 who were admitted at the King Abdulaziz Medical City (KAMC)-Jeddah between March 1, 2020, and December 31, 2020, were included; pediatric and pregnant patients were excluded. The clinical features and complications of COVID-19 were tested for association with poor outcomes (intensive care unit [ICU] admission or death) using chi-square and Fisher's exact tests. In addition, logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the predictors of poor outcomes. Results A total of 527 patients were included in this study. Forty-two patients (8%) (6-10, 95% confidence interval [CI]) died: 13 in the general wards and 29 in the ICU. Of the 84 patients admitted to the ICU, 65 underwent invasive mechanical ventilation. Poor outcome affected 97 patients (18%) (15-22, 95% CI). Shortness of breath, oxygen saturation <92%, and abnormal chest x-ray findings were associated with poor outcomes (P-value < 0.001). In addition, lymphocyte counts were significantly lower, while c-reactive protein levels were significantly higher among patients with poor outcomes (P-value < 0.001). The most common complications were acute cardiac (83 patients, 16%), acute kidney (78 patients, 15%), and liver injuries (76 patients, 14%). Predictors of poor outcome were the updated Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) (odds ratio [OR] 1.2 [95% CI 1.1-1.4]), liver injury (OR 2.6 [95% CI 1.3-4.9]), acute kidney injury (OR 4.3 [95% CI 2.3-7.8]), and acute cardiac injury (OR 5.1 [95% CI 2.8-9.4]). Conclusions COVID-19 disease is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Predictors of poor outcomes among COVID-19 hospitalized patients were the updated CCI, liver injury, acute kidney, and acute myocardial injuries. Subsequently, the risk of poor COVID-19 outcomes is increased among patients with multiple comorbidities and/or multiple COVID-19 complications.
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