Genetically predicted tobacco consumption and risk of intracranial aneurysm: a Mendelian randomization study

Several observational studies have suggested that tobacco consumption is a risk factor for intracranial aneurysms (IAs). We here genetically predict the causal association between specific smoking features and biomarkers for smokers and IA risk. The Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis considered summary statistics from the largest current genome-wide association studies of smoking and IA. The inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method, weighted median method, MR-RAPS, and multiple variants Mendelian randomization (MVMR) were performed to estimate the effect of different smoking features and drinking in IA. We observed significant causal effects of smoking on the risk of both aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) and unruptured IA (uIA). The ORs of IAs based on the IVW method were 1.890 (95% CI 1.486-2.405) of ever smoking regularly. MVMR analysis afforded odds ratios of 1.685 (95% CI 1.136-2.501). In the further subgroup analysis, a similar causal relationship was observed in aSAH. Moreover, our analyses suggested that higher blood cotinine level and cadmium increases aSAH risk, and ORs were 1.235 (95%CI 1.009-1.186) and 1.235 (95%CI 1.046-1.458), respectively. Our study suggests that ever smoking regularly is associated with the IA risk, which includes both uIA and aSAH. Besides, higher blood cadmium and cotinine level may increases IA and aSAH risk. Thus, tobacco control should be promoted as primordial prevention for IAs, and screening for patients with a smoking history is emphasized.