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C3a and C5b-9 Differentially Predict COVID-19 Progression and Outcome
Maria G Detsika1, Elpida Diamanti1, Kleio Ampelakiotou2
11st Department of Critical Care Medicine & Pulmonary Services, GP Livanos and M Simou Laboratories, Evangelismos Hospital, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 10675 Athens, Greece.
Insights
Complement factors C3a and C5b-9 show promise in predicting COVID-19 severity and outcomes. Measuring these biomarkers can aid in forecasting patient progression and the need for intensive care unit (ICU) admission or mechanical ventilation.
Area of Science:
- Immunology
- Infectious Diseases
- Critical Care Medicine
Background:
- SARS-CoV-2 infection can lead to severe pneumonia, requiring intensive care unit (ICU) admission and mechanical ventilation.
- Complement activation is implicated in the pathogenesis of COVID-19, suggesting its potential role in disease progression.
- Identifying reliable biomarkers is crucial for predicting COVID-19 outcomes and guiding clinical management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the predictive potential of complement factors C3a and C5b-9 for COVID-19 progression and patient outcomes.
- To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of C3a and C5b-9 levels for critical illness, intubation, and mortality in COVID-19 patients.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 80 COVID-19 patients was analyzed, categorized by disease severity (severe vs. critically ill), ventilation status (non-intubated vs. intubated), and survival.
- Serum levels of complement factors C3a and C5b-9 were measured.
- Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was employed to determine the predictive accuracy of these markers for clinical outcomes.
Main Results:
- Significantly elevated levels of C3a and C5b-9 were observed in critically ill patients compared to severely ill patients.
- Higher C3a and C5b-9 levels correlated with the need for intubation and increased mortality.
- Both C3a and C5b-9 demonstrated predictive value for ICU admission, intubation, and mortality, with combined use showing enhanced predictive power.
Conclusions:
- Complement factors C3a and C5b-9 are significantly elevated in severe and critical COVID-19 cases.
- These biomarkers serve as valuable prognostic tools for predicting COVID-19 progression, including ICU admission, need for intubation, and mortality.
- The combined assessment of C3a and C5b-9 offers a robust strategy for risk stratification in COVID-19 patients.
Abstract:
SARS-CoV-2 infection may result in severe pneumonia leading to mechanical ventilation and intensive care (ICU) treatment. Complement activation was verified in COVID-19 and implicated as a contributor to COVID-19 pathogenesis. This study assessed the predictive potential of complement factors C3a and C5b-9 for COVID-19 progression and outcome. We grouped 80 COVID-19 patients into severe COVID-19 patients (n = 38) and critically ill (n = 42) and subdivided into non-intubated (n = 48) and intubated (n = 32), survivors (n = 57) and non-survivors (n = 23). Results: A significant increase for C3a and C5b-9 levels was observed between: severely and critically ill patients (p < 0.001 and p < 0.0001), non-intubated vs intubated (p < 0.001 and p < 0.05), survivors vs non-survivors (p < 0.001 and p < 0.01). ROC analysis for the need for ICU treatment revealed a higher AUC for C5b-9 (0.764, p < 0.001) compared to C3a (AUC = 0.739, p < 0.01). A higher AUC was observed for C3a for the need for intubation (AUC = 0.722, p < 0.001) or mortality (AUC = 0.740, p < 0.0001) compared to C5b-9 (need for intubation AUC = 0.656, p < 0.05 and mortality AUC = 0.631, p = NS). Combining the two markers revealed a powerful prediction tool for ICU admission (AUC = 0.773, p < 0.0001), intubation (AUC = 0.756, p < 0.0001) and mortality (AUC = 0.753, p < 0.001). C3a and C5b-9 may be considered as prognostic tools separately or in combination for the progression and outcome of COVID-19.
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