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Risk Factors for Death and Severe Neurological Sequelae in Childhood Bacterial Meningitis
Dolores Lovera1, Sara Amarilla, Soraya Araya
1From the Department of Pediatrics. Institute of Tropical Medicine, Asunción, Paraguay.
Introduction:
Acute bacterial meningitis (ABM) continues to be a challenge from a diagnostic and therapeutic point of view. Identifying severity risk factors and predictive scores may guide interventions to reduce poor outcome.
Methods:
Data from a retrospective study for ABM in children admitted to the Institute of Tropical Medicine in Paraguay was analyzed. ABM was defined as positive cerebrospinal fluid culture, positive latex agglutination, or identification of microorganism by real time-polymerase chain reaction. Univariate and multivariate analyses of risk factors at hospital admission that predicted major morbidity or death during hospitalization were performed. A point-based scoring system that included variables, which were clearly different among those who passed away, was constructed.
Results:
One hundred fourteen children hospitalized with ABM were eligible for the study. The mean age was 46 ± 57 months (range, 1-192 months). The observed mortality was 33% (38/114 patients). When a point-based scoring system was used, for score of 0 (n = 29) and 1 (n = 12), no death was observed. Among patients with a score of 2 (n = 14), 3 (n = 10 patients), 4 (n = 12 patients), and 5 (n = 13 patients), the mortality rate was 14.3%, 40%, 50%, and 53.8%, respectively. When the score was 6 or higher, the mortality rate was at least 63.6%.
Conclusions:
The present score accurately discriminated the probability of death in children hospitalized with ABM, and it could be a useful tool to select candidates for admission to the intensive care unit and for adjunctive therapy in clinical trials.
Insights
A new scoring system accurately predicts mortality in children with acute bacterial meningitis (ABM). This tool aids in identifying high-risk patients for intensive care and clinical trial therapies, improving outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Pediatrics
- Infectious Diseases
- Clinical Epidemiology
Background:
- Acute bacterial meningitis (ABM) presents significant diagnostic and therapeutic challenges.
- Identifying risk factors and predictive scores is crucial for improving patient outcomes in ABM.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate a predictive scoring system for mortality in children with ABM.
- To identify key risk factors associated with poor outcomes in pediatric ABM cases.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 114 children hospitalized with ABM.
- Development of a point-based scoring system based on risk factors identified at hospital admission.
- Univariate and multivariate analyses to determine predictors of major morbidity or death.
Main Results:
- The overall mortality rate for ABM in the study cohort was 33%.
- The developed scoring system showed a clear correlation between increasing scores and higher mortality rates.
- Scores of 0-1 were associated with no observed deaths, while scores of 6 or higher had a mortality rate of at least 63.6%.
Conclusions:
- The developed scoring system accurately discriminates the probability of death in children with ABM.
- This tool can assist in selecting candidates for intensive care unit admission.
- The score may also be valuable for adjunctive therapy selection in clinical trials for ABM.
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