Computational modeling implicates protein scaffolding in p38 regulation of Akt

Cells process environmental cues by activating intracellular signaling pathways with numerous interconnections and opportunities for cross-regulation. We employed a systems biology approach to investigate intersections of kinase p38, a context-dependent tumor suppressor or promoter, with Akt and ERK, two kinases known to promote cell survival, proliferation, and drug resistance in cancer. Using live, single cell microscopy, multiplexed fluorescent reporters of p38, Akt, and ERK activities, and a custom automated image-processing pipeline, we detected marked heterogeneity of signaling outputs in breast cancer cells stimulated with chemokine CXCL12 or epidermal growth factor (EGF). Basal activity of p38 correlated inversely with amplitude of Akt and ERK activation in response to either ligand. Remarkably, small molecule inhibitors of p38 immediately decreased basal activities of Akt and ERK but increased the proportion of cells with high amplitude ligand-induced activation of Akt signaling. To identify mechanisms underlying cross-talk of p38 with Akt signaling, we developed a computational model incorporating subcellular compartmentalization of signaling molecules by scaffold proteins. Dynamics of this model revealed that subcellular scaffolding of Akt accounted for observed regulation by p38. The model also predicted that differences in the amount of scaffold protein in a subcellular compartment captured the observed single cell heterogeneity in signaling. Finally, our model predicted that reduction in kinase signaling can be accomplished by both scaffolding and direct kinase inhibition. However, scaffolding inhibition can potentiate future kinase activity by redistribution of pathway components, potentially amplifying oncogenic signaling. These studies reveal how computational modeling can decipher mechanisms of cross-talk between the p38 and Akt signaling pathways and point to scaffold proteins as central regulators of signaling dynamics and amplitude.