Metabolic syndrome and risk factors in children: a risk score proposal

Larissa Pereira Lourenço1, Poliana Cristina de Almeida Fonseca Viola2, Sylvia do Carmo Castro Franceschini3

  • 1Department of Nutrition and Health, Universidade Federal de Viçosa (UFV), Viçosa, Minas Gerais, Brazil. larissapereira120@yahoo.com.br.

Insights

A new continuous risk score effectively identifies Metabolic Syndrome (MS) in young children. This score shows high sensitivity and reasonable specificity for predicting MS in children aged 4-7 years.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric Endocrinology
  • Metabolic Health
  • Biostatistics

Background:

  • International consensus on defining Metabolic Syndrome (MS) in children is lacking, hindering prevalence estimation.
  • Pediatric MS is a growing concern, necessitating reliable diagnostic tools for early intervention.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To determine the prevalence of Metabolic Syndrome (MS) in children aged 4-7 years.
  • To establish a reliable cutoff point for a continuous MS risk score in this pediatric age group.

Main Methods:

  • A cross-sectional study involving 402 children (4-7 years) was conducted.
  • A continuous MS risk score was developed using Principal Component Analysis (PCA) based on waist circumference, HDL, triglycerides, blood pressure, and blood sugar.
  • Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) curves were used to determine the optimal cutoff score for MS prediction.

Main Results:

  • MS risk scores increased progressively with the number of risk factors and differed between boys and girls (p < 0.001).
  • Median MS scores were significantly higher in children with MS (0.5237) compared to those without (-0.0486) (p < 0.001).
  • Optimal cutoff scores for predicting MS were >0.09 for 4-5 year olds (100% sensitivity, 72.67% specificity) and >0.14 for 6-7 year olds (100% sensitivity, 64.65% specificity).

Conclusions:

  • The developed continuous risk score accurately predicts Metabolic Syndrome in children.
  • The score demonstrates high sensitivity and reasonable specificity, offering a valuable tool for pediatric MS assessment.
Abstract

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