Retrospective spatial analysis of cases of COVID-19 in a single military accommodation block corridor, RMAS,...

Shared ablutions and stairwells, corridor cross-ventilation and non-deliberate perflation (natural draft blowing through a space) are potential risk factors for COVID-19 transmission in corridor-based accommodation. This paper uses retrospective spatial analysis to identify potential built environmental risk factors during the January-March 2021 outbreak in Victory College, Royal Military Academy Sandhurst.Distance was measured in units of single room spacing. Odds, ORs and 95% CIs were calculated to identify and measure associations between distance from exposure and having COVID-19. Distance response trends were assessed using Pearson's χ² for trend test. Linear relationships were tested using the t-test or rank-sum test.Stairwells and ablutions were not identified as likely sources of infection for all corridor occupants. Assuming occupants used their nearest ablutions, closer distance among those attributed to using ablutions 2 (one of four sets of ablutions), was identified as a risk factor (p=0.05). Testing distance response by χ² linear trend testing showed a potential association between nearest adjacent positive room and COVID-19 (p=0.06), strongest if dominant air movement along the corridor length was from the left (p=0.10) compared with the right (p=0.24).Formal qualitative spatial analysis and environmental assessment of ventilation and air movement has a role in outbreak investigation in assessing factors related to the built environment. Environmental investigations would best inform outbreak investigations if undertaken contemporaneously. Pre-emptive and retrospective studies can help inform public health advice to military establishments in business continuity planning for isolation facilities, during outbreaks or in future development of the built environment.