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Does Population Aging Impact China's Economic Growth?
Qiuxing Chen1, Qiaozhu Chi2, Yang Chen1
1School of Economics, Fujian Normal University, Fuzhou 350117, China.
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
|October 14, 2022
Summary
Population aging significantly impacts China's economic growth and social security spending. Endowment and health expenditures fully mediate this relationship, particularly benefiting economically backward regions.
Area of Science:
- Economics
- Demography
- Public Policy
Background:
- China's rapidly aging population poses significant challenges to social security expenditure and economic growth.
- Understanding the multifaceted impacts of population aging is crucial for sustainable development.
Purpose of the Study:
- To comprehensively measure provincial population aging in China from 2008-2019.
- To analyze the impact of population aging on economic growth and social security expenditure.
- To investigate the mediating role of endowment insurance and medical/health expenditures.
Main Methods:
- Entropy method was used to calculate the provincial population aging index.
- An intermediary effect model was constructed with population aging as the core explanatory variable.
Main Results:
- Population aging positively impacts economic growth, especially in more developed regions.
- Population aging positively influences endowment insurance and medical/health expenditures, particularly in economically backward regions.
- Endowment and health spending were found to fully mediate the relationship between population aging and economic growth.
Conclusions:
- Population aging presents both opportunities and challenges for China's economic trajectory.
- Social security expenditures, specifically in endowment and health, play a critical mediating role in the population aging-economic growth nexus.
- Policy interventions should consider the differential impacts of aging across regions to ensure equitable development.
Keywords:
economic growthendowment insurance expendituremedical and health care expenditurepopulation agingMore Related Videos
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