Monocyte HLADR and Immune Dysregulation Index as Biomarkers for COVID-19 Severity and Mortality

Namrata Punit Awasthi1, Sridhar Mishra1, Vandana Tiwari2

  • 1Department of Pathology, Dr. Ram Manohar Lohia Institute of Medical Sciences, Gomti Nagar, 226010 Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh India.

Insights

Immune dysregulation index (IDI) and monocyte HLA-DR (mHLA-DR) show promise in predicting COVID-19 severity and mortality. These markers, along with neutrophil CD64 (nCD64), aid in early risk assessment and patient management.

Area of Science:

  • Immunology
  • Infectious Diseases
  • Critical Care Medicine

Background:

  • COVID-19-associated immune dysregulation is a key driver of severe disease and mortality.
  • Assessing immune markers like monocyte HLA-DR (mHLA-DR) and neutrophil CD64 (nCD64) is crucial for understanding disease progression.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the diagnostic and prognostic value of mHLA-DR, nCD64, and a novel Immune Dysregulation Index (IDI) in COVID-19 patients.
  • To compare these immune markers with established clinical and laboratory parameters for predicting severity and mortality.

Main Methods:

  • Flow cytometry was used to measure mHLA-DR, nCD64, and IDI in 100 COVID-19 patients and 30 healthy controls within 12 hours of admission.
  • Clinical data, including C-reactive protein (CRP), Procalcitonin (PCT), Absolute Lymphocyte Count (ALC), Absolute Neutrophil Count (ANC), and Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR), were recorded.
  • Patients were followed until discharge or death to assess outcomes.

Main Results:

  • Significant down-regulation of mHLA-DR and increasing IDI values were observed with increasing COVID-19 severity (mild vs. severe).
  • IDI demonstrated high diagnostic accuracy (AUC 0.99) for differentiating between mild and severe COVID-19.
  • mHLA-DR and IDI levels differed significantly between survivors and non-survivors, with specific thresholds associated with mortality risk.

Conclusions:

  • mHLA-DR and IDI are valuable biomarkers for assessing COVID-19 severity and predicting mortality risk.
  • The novel IDI shows particular promise for early risk stratification and patient management.
  • Integrating these immune markers with NLR and ALC can enhance patient triaging, monitoring, and intervention strategies.