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Covid-19: Early Cases and Disease Spread.
Jacques Reis1,2, Alain Le Faou3, Alain Buguet4
1UDS University of Strasbourg, 67000 Strasbourg, France.
Annals of Global Health
|October 17, 2022
Summary
Investigating the origins of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) is vital for pandemic prevention. Early circulation may have occurred in Italy and France before widespread global transmission.
Area of Science:
- Virology
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
Background:
- The emergence and global spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) necessitate understanding pandemic origins.
- Retrospective analysis is crucial for identifying early transmission events and potential superspreading incidents.
Purpose of the Study:
- To review tools and findings from retrospective searches for SARS-CoV-2 origins in China, France, Italy, and the USA.
- To examine possible emergence scenarios and early circulation patterns of SARS-CoV-2.
- To inform strategies for preventing future viral pandemics.
Main Methods:
- Review of retrospective search tools, their limitations, and results.
- Examination of epidemiological data from China, France, Italy, and the USA.
- Analysis of potential superspreading events and early regional circulation clues.
Main Results:
- The first cases of atypical pneumonia attributed to SARS-CoV-2 were identified in Wuhan, China.
- Possible superspreading events include the 7th Military World Games in Wuhan and Chinese New Year holidays.
- Evidence suggests early regional circulation of SARS-CoV-2 in Northern Italy (Lombardy) by September/October 2019 and in France by November/December 2019.
Conclusions:
- Understanding the precise origin and early spread of SARS-CoV-2 is critical for future pandemic preparedness.
- Additional retrospective studies are needed to definitively trace the origin of SARS-CoV-2.
- Identifying early transmission dynamics can guide the development of effective control and prevention strategies.
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