Assessment of human-induced effects in the Sultan marshes (Ramsar Protection), Kayseri (Turkey)

This study examines the drying in the Sultan Marshes and the spatio-temporal change of different land cover classes. Corine land cover change outputs were examined for four periods (1990-2000; 2000-2006; 2006-2012; and 2012-2018). During these analyses, the period when the water area changes in the lakes occur the most was determined. Moreover, other land cover changes occurring in the region were defined. The LCC results were compared and discussed in terms of some human factors (i.e., human development index and terrestrial human footprint). According to the results of this study, it was observed that there was a severe decline in the lake surface water located in the Sultan Marshes National Park Area. The water's surface in the lakes decreased by 50% in the 2000s compared to previous years and decreased until 2006. This withdrawal was prominent especially in Lake Yay and Lake Çöl. Considering the human factors (Human Development Index) and variables (terrestrial Human Footprint) in terms of the spatio-temporal land cover change, it is seen that the human development in the region increased from 0.54 to 0.81 from 1990 to 2018, and the human footprint increased the most in 1993. Water area changes occurred at a high rate between 1990-2000 and 2000-2006. It results from the growing demand for basic needs (such as water consumption and food diversity) with increasing human development and expanded agricultural practices in the region and overuse of the ground and aboveground waters that are the source of the lakes. Especially between 1990 and 2000, the high number of human interventions in the region caused the human footprint to be higher in 1993 than in 2009. Unless the Sultan Marshes have the proper planning and policies, it faces the danger of complete drying up with the effects of climate change in the future.