Home Blood Pressure Can Predict the Risk for Stroke/Bleeding Events in Elderly Patients With Nonvalvular Atrial...

Blood pressure (BP) fluctuates significantly in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF); office BP measurements seem insufficient to assess AF patient risk accurately. We hypothesized that home BP could better predict the risk of stroke/systemic embolic events (SEE) and major bleeding in patients with AF than office BP.

In this prespecified subcohort study of the ANAFIE (All Nippon AF in the Elderly) Registry, we evaluated the impact of home BP on the risk of stroke/SEE, major bleeding, intracranial hemorrhage, all-cause death, and net cardiovascular outcome (a composite of stroke/SEE and major bleeding). At enrollment, home BP was measured twice in the morning and evening for 7 days.

In total, 4933 elderly patients (aged ≥75 years) with nonvalvular AF participated. Incidences of net cardiovascular outcome, stroke/SEE, major bleeding, and intracranial hemorrhage increased significantly with increasing home systolic BP (H-SBP). Compared with H-SBP <125 mm Hg, ≥145 mm Hg was associated with increased risk of these events. The association between H-SBP and the events was observed only in patients with ≥20 H-SBP measurements.

In elderly patients with nonvalvular AF, high H-SBP (≥145 mm Hg) was a significant predictor of stroke/SEE, major bleeding, and intracranial hemorrhage risk. Strict BP control guided by the increasing number of home BP measurements may provide an accurate clinical outcome risk assessment.

URL: https://www.umin.ac.jp/ctr; Unique identifier: UMIN000024006.