Cost-effectiveness of ultrasound before non-invasive prenatal screening for fetal aneuploidy

To determine the cost-effectiveness of first-trimester ultrasound before fetal aneuploidy screening with cell-free DNA (cfDNA) compared with screening by cfDNA alone.

A decision analytic model was constructed for 400 000 pregnant individuals with advanced maternal age who desired first-trimester aneuploidy screening with cfDNA in the USA, to compare two screening strategies: (1) cfDNA only and (2) ultrasound performed within 4 weeks before cfDNA. Input parameters included probability of fetal aneuploidy, cfDNA performance, desire for diagnostic testing, pregnancy outcomes, and pregnancy and lifetime costs and utilities. The primary outcome measure was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), in terms of cost in 2020 US dollars (USD) per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. Secondary outcomes included procedure-related loss, pregnancy termination, live birth with aneuploidy, live birth with structural anomaly and stillbirth. Discounting was performed at 3% per year with an estimated maternal lifespan of 81 years starting at the age of 35 years. One-way, multiway and Monte Carlo probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed. All base-case estimates and ranges of uncertainty were derived from the literature. The willingness-to-pay threshold was set at 100 000 USD per QALY.

In the base-case analysis, ultrasound before cfDNA screening was more cost-effective than cfDNA screening without pretest ultrasound, with an ICER of 12 588 USD and higher net monetary benefit (24 241 vs 20 466). The strategy involving ultrasound before cfDNA was more costly by 544 USD but also more effective (by 0.04 QALY) compared with cfDNA alone. Base-case results were robust in sensitivity analyses with the strategy involving ultrasound before cfDNA always remaining the most cost-effective approach with the highest net monetary benefit.

First-trimester ultrasound before cfDNA is a more cost-effective strategy for non-invasive prenatal aneuploidy screening compared with cfDNA alone. © 2022 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.