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The Effect of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Outpatient Antibiotic Prescription Rates in Children and Adolescents-A
Manas K Akmatov1, Claudia Kohring1, Lotte Dammertz1
1Department of Epidemiology and Health Care Atlas, Central Research Institute of Ambulatory Health Care, 10587 Berlin, Germany.
Insights
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly reduced antibiotic prescriptions in German children, with rates dropping sharply during mitigation measures. However, this effect was temporary, and regional prescribing differences persisted.
Area of Science:
- Pediatrics
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
Background:
- The COVID-19 pandemic and associated mitigation measures may have impacted healthcare utilization and infectious disease patterns.
- Understanding changes in antibiotic prescription rates during the pandemic is crucial for monitoring antimicrobial resistance and public health trends.
- Previous trends showed a consistent decrease in antibiotic prescriptions for children in Germany prior to 2020.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic and related mitigation strategies on systemic antibiotic prescription rates among children (0-14 years) in Germany.
- To analyze temporal trends and regional variations in antibiotic prescribing before and during the pandemic.
Main Methods:
- Utilized nationwide outpatient prescription data from Statutory Health Insurance in Germany (2010-2021).
- Examined monthly antibiotic prescriptions for children aged 0-14 years (n=9,688,483 in 2021).
- Applied interrupted time series analysis to assess the impact of SARS-COV-2 mitigation measures implemented in March and November 2020.
Main Results:
- Antibiotic prescription rates showed a consistent annual decrease of 6% from 2010-2019.
- Mitigation measures in 2020 led to immediate and significant reductions in antibiotic prescriptions, particularly in April (RR 0.24) and November (RR 0.44).
- Decreases were observed across all age groups and antibiotic subgroups, but the effect was temporary. Regional prescription rates remained highly correlated with pre-pandemic levels.
Conclusions:
- The COVID-19 pandemic mitigation measures temporarily reduced antibiotic prescribing in German children, potentially due to decreased respiratory infections or altered healthcare access/seeking behaviors.
- Despite significant reductions, high regional variations in antibiotic use persisted, mirroring pre-pandemic patterns.
- Long-term implications for antimicrobial stewardship and healthcare access require further investigation.
Abstract:
The aim of the study was to examine whether the COVID-19 pandemic had any effect on antibiotic prescription rates in children in Germany. Using the nationwide outpatient prescription data from the Statutory Health Insurance from 2010 to 2021, changes in the monthly prescriptions of systemic antibiotics dispensed to children aged 0-14 years were examined (n = 9,688,483 in 2021). Interrupted time series analysis was used to assess the effect of mitigation measures against SARS-COV-2, introduced in March and November 2020, on antibiotic prescription rates. In the pre-pandemic period, the antibiotic prescription rates displayed a linear decrease from 2010 to 2019 (mean annual decrease, -6%). In 2020, an immediate effect of mitigation measures on prescription rates was observed; in particular, the rate decreased steeply in April (RR 0.24, 95% CI: 0.14-0.41) and November 2020 (0.44, 0.27-0.73). The decrease was observed in all ages and for all antibiotic subgroups. However, this effect was temporary. Regionally, prescription rates were highly correlated between 2019 and 2020/2021. Substantial reductions in antibiotic prescription rates following the mitigation measures may indicate limited access to medical care, changes in care-seeking behavior and/or a decrease of respiratory infections. Despite an all-time low of antibiotic use, regional variations remained high and strongly correlated with pre-pandemic levels.
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