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Pediatric trauma mortality in India and the United States: A comparison and risk-adjusted analysis
Stas Amato1, Katherine Culbreath2, Emma Dunne3
1Department of Surgery, University of Vermont Medical Center, 111 Colchester Ave, Burlington, VT 05401, USA.
Insights
Pediatric trauma mortality is significantly higher in India than in the US, especially for children with less severe injuries. Improving trauma care protocols in India could save young lives.
Area of Science:
- Global Health
- Trauma Surgery
- Pediatric Critical Care
Background:
- Limited research exists on pediatric trauma mortality disparities between high-income and low- to middle-income countries.
- This knowledge gap hinders targeted interventions for specific populations and injury patterns.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare independent predictors of pediatric trauma mortality between India and the United States (US).
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study of pediatric trauma patients (<18 years) from India (TITCO) and US (NTDB) databases (2013-2015).
- Analysis of demographic, injury, physiologic, and outcome data.
- Multivariable regression models to identify independent mortality predictors.
Main Results:
- 126,678 patients included (India: 3,373; US: 123,305).
- Indian pediatric trauma patients were younger, had higher injury severity scores, lower blood pressure, and a higher case fatality rate (13.0% vs. 1.0%).
- Injury in India was the strongest mortality predictor (OR 22.70); highest mortality odds were in children with lower injury and physiologic severity.
Conclusions:
- Risk-adjusted pediatric trauma mortality is substantially higher in India compared to the US.
- Disparities are most pronounced in children with less severe injuries, suggesting systemic care differences.
- Low-cost interventions in trauma care, protocols, training, and imaging may reduce pediatric injury mortality in India.
Background:
There is a paucity of research comparing pediatric risk-adjusted trauma mortality between high-income and low- and middle-income countries. This limits identification of populations and injury patterns for targeted interventions. We aim to compare independent predictors of pediatric trauma mortality between India and the United States (US).
Methods:
A retrospective cohort study was conducted for pediatric patients (age <18 years) in India's Towards Improved Trauma Care Outcomes (TITCO) project database and the US National Trauma Data Bank (NTDB) from 2013 to 2015. Demographic, injury, physiologic, anatomic and outcome data were analyzed. Multivariable regressions were used to determine independent predictors of mortality.
Results:
126,678 pediatric trauma patients were included (India 3,373; US 123,305). Pediatric patients in India were on average significantly younger, with a higher median injury severity score (ISS), had lower systolic blood pressure, and suffered a higher case fatality rate (13.0% vs. 1.0%). When controlling for demographic, mechanism, physiologic, and anatomic injury characteristics, sustaining an injury in India was the strongest predictor of mortality (OR 22.70, 95% CI 18.70-27.56). On subgroup analysis, the highest relative odds of mortality in India was seen in children with lower injury and physiologic severity.
Conclusions:
Risk-adjusted pediatric trauma-related mortality is significantly higher in India compared to the US. The comparative odds of mortality are highest among children with lower injury and physiologic severity. This suggests that low-cost targeted interventions focused on standard timely trauma care, protocols, training and early imaging could improve pediatric injury mortality in India.
Type Of Study:
Retrospective Prognosis Study LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: II.
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