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American election results at the precinct level.
Samuel Baltz1, Alexander Agadjanian2, Declan Chin3
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Political Science, Cambridge, MA, 02139, USA. sbaltz@umich.edu.
This study created a comprehensive dataset of U.S. precinct-level election results for 2016, 2018, and 2020. The aggregated data closely matches official totals, ensuring high accuracy for election analysis.
Area of Science:
- Political Science
- Data Science
- American Politics
Background:
- Election results are often fragmented and lack standardization across states.
- Precinct-level data is crucial for detailed analysis of electoral behavior and outcomes.
- Existing datasets lack comprehensive coverage and consistent quality assurance.
Purpose of the Study:
- To create a standardized, high-quality dataset of precinct-level election results.
- To cover nearly all available races from 2016, 2018, and 2020 U.S. elections.
- To ensure the dataset's accuracy by comparing aggregated results to official totals.
Main Methods:
- Collected and cleaned precinct-level election data from all available states and races.
- Standardized data formats and election terminology across different sources.
- Aggregated precinct data to official geographic levels for validation.
Main Results:
- Developed a dataset encompassing almost all U.S. precinct-level election results for three major election cycles.
- Included results for presidential, congressional, gubernatorial, state legislative, judicial, and local races.
- Validated aggregated data against official totals, showing a maximum difference of only 0.457%.
Conclusions:
- The created dataset offers a reliable and comprehensive resource for electoral research.
- The data's high accuracy facilitates in-depth analysis of American elections at the smallest administrative unit.
- This standardized dataset addresses a critical need for consistent, granular election information.
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