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Predicting rupture locations of ascending aortic aneurysms using CT-based finite element models
Dermot O'Rourke1, Timothy L Surman2, John M Abrahams3
1Medical Device Research Institute, College of Science and Engineering, Flinders University. Australia.
Finite element (FE) models accurately predict ascending aortic aneurysm rupture location within 2.5 years. Beyond this timeframe, FE model reliability decreases, impacting clinical use for rupture risk assessment.
Area of Science:
- Biomedical Engineering
- Computational Mechanics
- Cardiovascular Imaging
Background:
- Ascending aortic aneurysms pose a significant mortality risk, necessitating accurate rupture prediction.
- Computational models, specifically finite element (FE) models, show promise in improving rupture risk assessment over traditional diameter-based methods.
- The reliability and predictive timeframe of FE models for determining ascending aortic rupture location remain largely uninvestigated.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the capability of FE models, derived from computed tomography (CT) scans, in predicting the rupture location of ascending aortic aneurysms.
- To determine the temporal reliability of FE model predictions for ascending aortic rupture location.
Main Methods:
- Acquired pre- and post-rupture CT scans from 12 patients undergoing emergency surgical repair for ascending aorta rupture.
- Utilized rigid iterative closest point (ICP) registration to align post-rupture geometries with pre-rupture FE models.
- Compared predicted high equivalent strain regions from FE models with actual rupture sites.
Main Results:
- FE models successfully predicted rupture location in 5 patients with scan intervals of 20 days to 2 years and 3 months.
- Rupture location prediction failed in 4 out of 5 patients when the interval between scans exceeded 3 years.
- Accurate strain distribution in FE models depended on pre-rupture scan resolution and contrast agent presence.
Conclusions:
- FE models show potential for predicting ascending aortic aneurysm rupture location, particularly for shorter time intervals between scans.
- A time interval likely exists beyond which FE model predictions of rupture location may become unreliable.
- Findings may inform the clinical validation of FE models for ascending aortic aneurysm rupture risk assessment.
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