The risk of drug resistance during long-acting antimicrobial therapy

Anjalika Nande1,2, Alison L Hill1,2

  • 1Program for Evolutionary Dynamics, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA.

Insights

Long-acting antimicrobial therapies may increase or decrease drug resistance risk depending on drug absorption and pathogen characteristics. Evaluating these complex kinetics is crucial for developing effective treatments against chronic infections.

Area of Science:

  • Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics
  • Infectious Diseases
  • Drug Resistance Evolution

Background:

  • Antimicrobial resistance is a significant global health threat, particularly for chronic infections like HIV, HBV, HCV, and TB.
  • Sub-optimal adherence to long-term antimicrobial treatments is a key driver of resistance.
  • Novel long-acting drug formulations aim to improve adherence through less frequent dosing but may prolong exposure to intermediate drug concentrations.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze how dosing frequency influences the evolution of antimicrobial resistance under time-varying drug levels.
  • To investigate the complex interplay between drug pharmacokinetics and resistance development in chronic infections.

Main Methods:

  • Mathematical modeling was used to simulate the effect of dosing frequency on resistance evolution.
  • Analysis considered factors such as drug absorption and clearance rates, wild-type inhibition, and resistance source (pre-existing vs. de novo).

Main Results:

  • Long-acting therapies can either increase, decrease, or have a neutral effect on resistance risk.
  • Rapid absorption, slow clearance, and strong wild-type inhibition may reduce resistance from partially resistant strains early in treatment.
  • Conversely, if microbial subpopulations persist and reactivate, long-acting therapies might significantly elevate resistance risk.

Conclusions:

  • Drug kinetics profoundly impact antimicrobial resistance selection in a complex manner.
  • Pathogen-specific modeling is essential for accurately assessing the benefits and risks of new long-acting antimicrobial therapies.

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