Evaluation of electrocardiographic P wave parameters in predicting long-term atrial fibrillation in patients with

Tufan Çinar1, Mert İlker Hayiroğlu2, Murat Selçuk1

  • 1Health Sciences University, Sultan II, Abdülhamid Han Training and Research Hospital, Department of Cardiology, Istanbul, Turkey.

Insights

P wave duration (PWD) is the most effective electrocardiographic parameter for predicting long-term atrial fibrillation (AF) risk in patients with acute ischemic stroke. This finding aids in early detection and management of AF in stroke survivors.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Neurology
  • Medical Diagnostics

Background:

  • Electrocardiographic (ECG) parameters, including P wave peak time (PWPT), P wave duration (PWD), and P wave amplitude, are used to evaluate left atrial abnormalities.
  • These left atrial anomalies are associated with the development of atrial fibrillation (AF) in various patient cohorts.
  • Assessing these ECG markers can help identify individuals at risk for AF.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To compare the efficacy of different P wave electrocardiographic parameters in predicting long-term AF risk.
  • Specifically focused on patients who have experienced acute ischemic stroke.
  • To determine the most valuable P wave parameter for AF risk stratification in this population.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of data from 231 consecutive patients with acute ischemic stroke.
  • ECG recordings were independently interpreted by two cardiologists to measure PWPT, PWD, and P wave amplitude in lead DI.
  • Patients were followed for a median period of 16 months to detect AF development.

Main Results:

  • Atrial fibrillation (AF) was detected in 18.6% of the study cohort.
  • All evaluated P wave parameters showed statistical significance in cases with AF.
  • Multivariable analysis identified PWD, PWPT, and advanced interatrial block morphology as independent predictors of long-term AF. P wave duration demonstrated the highest predictive accuracy (area under the curve, sensitivity, and specificity).

Conclusions:

  • P wave duration (PWD) emerged as the most effective P wave parameter for predicting long-term AF in patients with acute ischemic stroke.
  • This study highlights the utility of PWD in risk-stratifying stroke patients for AF.
  • The findings suggest PWD can be a valuable tool for clinical decision-making in managing AF risk post-stroke.
Abstract

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