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Updated: Aug 22, 2025
Competing-Risk Nomogram for Predicting Cancer-Specific Survival in Multiple Primary Colorectal Cancer Patients after Surgery
Published on: September 27, 2024
Association between systemic inflammation and water composition and survival in colorectal cancer
Shi-Qi Lin1,2,3,4,5, Hai-Lun Xie2,3,4,5, Yi-Zhong Ge1,2,3,4,5
11Department of Surgery, the Second Affiliated Hospital and Yuying Children's Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China.
Background:
Systemic inflammation and water composition are important factors affecting cancer prognosis. This study aimed to explore the association between the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and intracellular water/total body water (ICW/TBW) ratio and overall survival (OS) in colorectal cancer (CRC).
Methods:
This multicenter, prospective cohort included 628 patients with CRC between June 2012 and December 2019. The association between the covariates and OS was assessed using a Cox proportional hazards model and restricted cubic spline models. Concordance index (C-index), which integrated discriminant improvement (IDI) index and continuous net reclassification index, (cNRI) was used to compare the predictive ability of the markers.
Results:
The optimal cutoff values for the NLR and ICW/TBW ratio were 2.42 and 0.61, respectively. The NLR was negatively associated with OS, while the ICW/TBW ratio was positively correlated with OS. NLR ≥2.42 and ICW/TBW ratio <0.61 were both independent poor prognostic factors (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.04, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.44-2.88 and HR: 1.45, 95% CI: 1.04-2.02, respectively). Subsequently, we combined the two factors to construct an inflammation-water score (IWS). Patients with IWS (2, ≥1) had worse OS (HR: 2.86 and 95% CI: 1.77-4.63; HR: 1.74 and 95% CI 1.17-2.57, respectively) than those without one. Compared to its component factors, IWS score showed better predictive ability for C-index, IDI index, and cNRI.
Conclusion:
A high NLR and a low ICW/TBW ratio were independent risk factors for poor prognosis in patients with CRC. The combination of the two factors can provide a better prognostic prediction effect.
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