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Shannon Entropy: An Econophysical Approach to Cryptocurrency Portfolios
Noé Rodriguez-Rodriguez1, Octavio Miramontes1
1Departamento de Sistemas Complejos, Instituto de Física, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Ciudad de México C.P. 04510, Mexico.
Cryptocurrency returns often exhibit heavy-tailed distributions, not Gaussian ones. Applying entropy measures reveals that diversifying investment portfolios can effectively reduce return uncertainty in these novel markets.
Area of Science:
- Econophysics
- Quantitative Finance
- Computational Economics
Background:
- Cryptocurrency markets have gained significant global investor interest due to their novelty, accessibility, and profit potential.
- Understanding the statistical properties of cryptocurrency returns is crucial for risk management and investment strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the return distributions of major cryptocurrencies using an econophysics approach.
- To investigate the effectiveness of diversification in mitigating risk within cryptocurrency portfolios.
Main Methods:
- Statistical analysis of cryptocurrency return data.
- Application of entropy measures to quantify uncertainty.
- Comparison of return distributions against Gaussian and heavy-tailed models.
Main Results:
- Many widely traded cryptocurrencies exhibit return distributions that deviate from the Gaussian model.
- These distributions are characterized by heavy tails, indicating a higher probability of extreme events.
- Entropy analysis confirms that portfolio diversification is a viable strategy for reducing return uncertainty.
Conclusions:
- The non-Gaussian, heavy-tailed nature of cryptocurrency returns necessitates advanced risk assessment techniques.
- Portfolio diversification remains a fundamental and effective strategy for managing investment risk in cryptocurrency markets.
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