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Optimal target of LDL cholesterol level for statin treatment: challenges to monotonic relationship with
Masashi Sakuma1, Satoshi Iimuro2, Tomohiro Shinozaki3
1Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Dokkyo Medical University School of Medicine, 880 Kitakobayashi, Mibu, Tochigi, 321-0293, Japan.
Insights
The optimal low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) level for preventing cardiovascular events appears to be around 70 mg/dl. Lowering LDL-C below this threshold did not further reduce event risk in Japanese patients with coronary artery disease.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Preventive Medicine
- Clinical Research
Background:
- High-dose statin therapy is established for secondary prevention of coronary artery disease (CAD).
- The concept of "lower is better" for low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels remains debated.
- A potential optimal LDL-C threshold, below which cardiovascular event incidence is no longer reduced, was hypothesized.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the existence of an optimal LDL-C threshold for cardiovascular event reduction.
- To determine if a monotonic relationship exists between LDL-C levels and cardiovascular outcomes.
- To analyze a sub-study of the REAL-CAD trial for optimal LDL-C targeting.
Main Methods:
- Subanalysis of 11,105 CAD patients from the REAL-CAD study.
- Assessment of LDL-C levels at 6 months post-randomization and 5-year cardiovascular outcomes.
- Utilized a Cox model with an artificial covariate to identify a threshold LDL-C value, testing thresholds from 40 to 100 mg/dl.
Main Results:
- The best model fit, assessed by log-likelihood, was achieved with an LDL-C threshold of 70 mg/dl for primary composite outcomes.
- In the model with LDL-C ≥ 70 mg/dl, a 10 mg/dl increase in LDL-C correlated with a hazard ratio of 1.07 (95% CI: 1.01-1.13).
- Cardiovascular event risk decreased monotonically until LDL-C reached 70 mg/dl; further reduction showed no additional benefit.
Conclusions:
- An optimal LDL-C threshold may exist for secondary prevention in Japanese CAD patients.
- The identified threshold for primary composite outcomes is approximately 70 mg/dl.
- Lowering LDL-C below 70 mg/dl did not appear to further reduce cardiovascular event risk.
Background:
Aggressive lipid lowering by high-dose statin treatment has been established for the secondary prevention of coronary artery disease (CAD). Regarding the low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) level, however, the "The lower is the better" concept has been controversial to date. We hypothesized that there is an optimal LDL-C level, i.e., a "threshold" value, below which the incidence of cardiovascular events is no longer reduced. We undertook a subanalysis of the REAL-CAD study to explore whether such an optimal target LDL-C level exists by a novel analysis procedure to verify the existence of a monotonic relationship.
Methods:
For a total of 11,105 patients with CAD enrolled in the REAL-CAD study, the LDL-C level at 6 months after randomization and 5-year cardiovascular outcomes were assessed. We set the "threshold" value of the LDL-C level under which the hazards were assumed to be constant, by including an artificial covariate max (0, LDL-C - threshold) in the Cox model. The analysis was repeated with different LDL-C thresholds (every 10 mg/dl from 40 to 100 mg/dl) and the model fit was assessed by log-likelihood.
Results:
For primary outcomes such as the composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal ischemic stroke, and unstable angina requiring emergency hospitalization, the model fit assessed by log-likelihood was best when a threshold LDL-C value of 70 mg/dl was assumed. And in the model with a threshold LDL-C ≥ 70 mg/dl, the hazard ratio was 1.07 (95% confidence interval 1.01-1.13) as the LDL-C increased by 10 mg/dl. Therefore, the risk of cardiovascular events decreased monotonically until the LDL-C level was lowered to 70 mg/dl, but when the level was further reduced, the risk was independent of LDL-C.
Conclusions:
Our analysis model suggests that a "threshold" value of LDL-C might exist for the secondary prevention of cardiovascular events in Japanese patients with CAD, and this threshold might be 70 mg/dl for primary composite outcomes.
Trial Registration:
http://www.
Clinicaltrials:
gov . Unique identifier: NCT01042730.
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