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Multivariable analysis to determine risk factors associated with abortion in mares
Jessica Roach1, Juan Carlos Arango Sabogal2, Ken Smith3
1J Roach, Comparative Biomedical Sciences, Royal Veterinary College, Hatfield, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.
Reproduction & Fertility
|November 14, 2022
Summary
Previous abortions, later conception cycles, and multiple fetuses increase abortion risk in Thoroughbreds. However, increasing paternal age may decrease this risk. This study identifies key factors for equine breeding management.
Area of Science:
- Veterinary Medicine
- Reproductive Biology
- Equine Science
Background:
- Equine reproductive efficiency is crucial, with risk factors for early pregnancy loss (EPL) identified.
- Risk factors for equine abortion (pregnancy loss between days 70-300) remain largely unstudied.
- Abortion causes differ from EPL, suggesting distinct risk factors.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify risk factors associated with abortion in Thoroughbred horses in the UK and Ireland.
- To provide evidence-based data for improving Thoroughbred breeding management and mitigating abortion risk.
Main Methods:
- A retrospective cohort study analyzed data from 2,510 mares over five years.
- Twenty exposure variables were collected and analyzed using a generalized linear mixed model.
- A forward stepwise approach selected variables with a likelihood ratio test p-value < 0.2.
Main Results:
- Two or more prior abortions significantly increased abortion risk (OR 7.91).
- Conception on the second/subsequent estrous cycle (OR 1.84) and multiple conceptuses (OR 1.68) also elevated risk.
- Increasing paternal age was associated with a decreased risk of abortion (OR 0.95).
Conclusions:
- Prior abortions, conception timing, and multiple pregnancies are significant risk factors for Thoroughbred abortion.
- Paternal age may play a protective role against abortion.
- Findings can inform targeted breeding management strategies to reduce equine abortion rates.
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