[Active surveillance for thyroid micro-malignant nodules]

Objective: To evaluate the effect of ultrasound diagnosis of thyroid micro-malignant nodules and accumulate practical experience for the management of active surveillance for them, so as to avoid overtreatment. Methods: A total of 949 patients who were diagnosed with thyroid malignant nodules using ultrasonography, with the nodules being less than 1 cm in size and without regional lymph node metastasis or distant metastasis, were included. They were treated by the same surgeon of the Department of Head and Neck Surgery, Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences from February 2014 to December 2020. 112 patients chose immediate surgery. The rest patients were asked to accept ultrasound examination every 6 months to 1 year. Follow-up endpoints: tumor size growth of 3 mm, tumor volume increase greater than 50%, lymph node metastasis or distant metastasis. Results: The median follow-up time was 19 months. 713 patients underwent surveillance for more than 6 months. Of the 713 patients, 570 (79.9%) were women, with mean age at 43.5 years old. Tumor progression was observed in 47 (6.6%) patients with a cumulative incidence of 2.7% (1 year), 7.2% (2 years) and 9.5% (3 years). In multivariate analysis, patient age [HR=0.508, 95%CI: 0.275-0.939, P=0.031], lesion number [HR=2.945, 95%CI: 1.593-5.444, P=0.001] and tumor size [HR=2.245, 95%CI: 1.202-4.192, P=0.011] at the beginning of observation were independent risk factors for tumor progression in patients with minimal thyroid malignant nodules during follow-up. During a median (range) active surveillance of 19 (6-80) months, 74 patients chose surgery during the surveillance. Among the 186 patients who underwent surgery, only 3 patients were diagnosed with fibrotic nodules in pathology, while the rest were papillary thyroid carcinoma. The ultrasound accuracy reached 98.4%(183/186). Conclusions: Ultrasonography is an effective method of diagnosing malignant thyroid nodules. Thyroid micro-malignant nodules progress slowly. As a result, it is safe to observe them instead of taking immediate surgery. Patient age, lesion number and tumor size at the beginning of observation are independent risk factors for the tumor progression of malignant nodules.