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Published on: May 18, 2020
Double robust estimation of optimal partially adaptive treatment strategies: An application to breast cancer
Denis Talbot1,2, Erica E M Moodie3, Caroline Diorio1,4
1Département de médecine sociale et préventive, Université Laval, Québec, Canada.
Abstract:
Precision medicine aims to tailor treatment decisions according to patients' characteristics. G-estimation and dynamic weighted ordinary least squares are double robust methods to identify optimal adaptive treatment strategies. It is underappreciated that they require modeling all existing treatment-confounder interactions to be consistent. Identifying optimal partially adaptive treatment strategies that tailor treatments according to only a few covariates, ignoring some interactions, may be preferable in practice. Building on G-estimation and dWOLS, we propose estimators of such partially adaptive strategies and demonstrate their double robustness. We investigate these estimators in a simulation study. Using data maintained by the Centre des Maladies du Sein, we estimate a partially adaptive treatment strategy for tailoring hormonal therapy use in breast cancer patients. R software implementing our estimators is provided.
Insights
This study introduces new methods for precision medicine, enabling tailored cancer treatments using partially adaptive strategies. These approaches improve upon existing techniques by simplifying treatment decisions for better patient outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Biostatistics
- Computational Biology
- Precision Medicine
Background:
- Precision medicine seeks to personalize patient treatment based on individual characteristics.
- Existing double robust methods like G-estimation and dynamic weighted ordinary least squares (dWOLS) for optimal adaptive treatment strategies require modeling all treatment-confounder interactions.
- This complexity can be impractical for real-world applications.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and evaluate novel estimators for partially adaptive treatment strategies.
- To demonstrate the double robustness of these new estimators.
- To apply these methods to identify optimal hormonal therapy strategies for breast cancer patients.
Main Methods:
- Building upon G-estimation and dWOLS, new estimators for partially adaptive strategies were developed.
- The double robustness of the proposed estimators was theoretically demonstrated.
- A simulation study was conducted to investigate the performance of the estimators.
- The methods were applied to real-world breast cancer patient data from the Centre des Maladies du Sein.
Main Results:
- The proposed estimators were shown to be double robust.
- The simulation study validated the performance of the new methods.
- A partially adaptive treatment strategy for hormonal therapy in breast cancer was estimated using real patient data.
Conclusions:
- Partially adaptive treatment strategies, which tailor treatments based on a subset of covariates, are valuable in precision medicine.
- The developed estimators offer a more practical approach to identifying optimal treatment strategies compared to existing methods.
- The findings provide a new tool for tailoring breast cancer hormonal therapy.
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