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Published on: December 19, 2020
Clinical and laboratory predictors for disease progression in patients with COVID-19: A multi-center cohort study
Shu-Min Lin1, Allen Chung-Cheng Huang1, Tzu-Hsuan Chiu1
1Department of Thoracic Medicine, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, Taiwan; College of Medicine, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan, Taiwan.
Insights
Predictors of severe COVID-19 include coronary arterial disease (CAD), cerebrovascular attack (CVA), low platelet count, and elevated C-reactive protein (CRP). These factors help identify patients at risk for disease progression.
Area of Science:
- Infectious Diseases
- Internal Medicine
- Cardiology
Background:
- Identifying predictors for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) progression is crucial for managing severe cases.
- Early identification of at-risk patients can guide clinical interventions and resource allocation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify clinical and laboratory predictors of in-hospital disease progression in COVID-19 patients.
- To determine factors associated with increased severity and adverse outcomes in COVID-19.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 239 hospitalized COVID-19 patients was analyzed.
- Demographic data, laboratory results, and clinical outcomes were collected and analyzed using multivariate logistic regression.
Main Results:
- Coronary arterial disease (CAD), cerebrovascular attack (CVA), platelet count below the median, and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels above the median were independent predictors of COVID-19 progression.
- Patients with disease progression showed lower lymphocyte counts and higher CRP levels compared to those without progression.
Conclusions:
- Comorbidities like CAD and CVA, along with laboratory markers (low platelets, high CRP), are significant indicators of COVID-19 disease progression.
- Persistent low lymphocyte counts and elevated CRP levels are characteristic of patients experiencing disease progression.
Background:
Reliable clinical and laboratory predictors of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) disease progression could help to identify the subset of patients who are susceptible to severe symptoms. This study sought to identify the predictors for disease progression in patients with COVID-19.
Methods:
This study recruited consecutive patients from four hospitals between March 1, 2020, and July 31, 2021. Demographic characteristics, laboratory results, and clinical outcomes were collected.
Results:
Among the 239 enrolled patients, 39.3% (94/239) experienced in-hospital disease progression. Multivariate logistic regression revealed that coronary arterial disease (CAD) (OR, 4.15; 95% C.I., 1.47-11.66), cerebrovascular attack (CVA) (OR, 12.98; 95% C.I., 1.30-129.51), platelet count < median value (OR, 3.23; 95% C.I., 1.65-6.32), and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels > median value of (OR, 2.25; 95% C.I., 1.02-4.99) were independent factors associated with COVID-19 progression. Patients who underwent disease progression at days 1, 4, and 7 presented lower lymphocyte counts and higher CRP levels, compared to patients without disease progression.
Conclusions:
The study revealed that in hospitalized COVID-19 patients, comorbidity with CAD and CVA, low platelet count, and elevated CRP levels were independently associated with disease progression. Compared with patients without disease progression, those with disease progression presented persistently low lymphocyte counts and elevated CRP levels.
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