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Has the IPCC's revised vulnerability concept been well adopted?

Ronald C Estoque1,2, Asif Ishtiaque3, Jagadish Parajuli4

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Summary

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) revised its climate change vulnerability concept, but this new definition is not widely adopted. Researchers continue to use the older model due to confusion and unawareness.

Keywords:
AdaptationClimate changeExposureHazardIPCCRisk

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Area of Science:

  • Climate science
  • Environmental studies
  • Risk assessment

Background:

  • The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has evolved its definition of vulnerability in climate change assessments.
  • Initial definitions (Third and Fourth Assessment Reports) considered vulnerability as a function of exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity.
  • Later reports (Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation and Fifth Assessment Report) redefined vulnerability, separating exposure and reconceptualizing it as a function of sensitivity and capacity to cope and adapt.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To review the adoption of the IPCC's revised vulnerability concept.
  • To identify reasons for the limited uptake of the new definition.
  • To highlight areas requiring further clarification from the IPCC regarding conceptual evolution.

Main Methods:

  • Literature review of IPCC assessment reports and related scientific publications.
  • Analysis of conceptual shifts in vulnerability definitions across IPCC assessment cycles.
  • Identification of potential factors influencing the adoption or non-adoption of revised concepts.

Main Results:

  • The revised IPCC vulnerability concept (from SREX/AR5) has not been widely adopted by researchers.
  • Reasons for non-adoption include researcher preference for the older model, potential misinterpretation, confusion, and unawareness of the revised definition.
  • A significant gap exists in understanding whether the revised concept supersedes the previous one within the IPCC framework.

Conclusions:

  • The IPCC's reconceptualization of vulnerability requires better communication and dissemination to the research community.
  • Further clarification is needed from the IPCC on the implications of the revised vulnerability framework.
  • Addressing the identified reasons for non-adoption is crucial for consistent application of climate change vulnerability concepts.