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A CEO's Future Temporal Depth and Organizational Resilience.
Maximilian Weis1, Patricia Klarner1
1Vienna University of Economics and Business, Welthandelsplatz 1, 1020 Vienna, Austria.
CEOs with longer future temporal depth (FTD) experience fewer economic losses during crises. However, a longer FTD is linked to a slower recovery, which can be mitigated by a diverse top management team and prior crisis experience.
Area of Science:
- Organizational Behavior
- Strategic Management
- Cognitive Psychology
Background:
- Organizational resilience research has focused on organizational factors, neglecting CEO-level influences.
- Upper echelons theory posits CEOs significantly impact firm decisions and outcomes.
- Understanding CEO cognitive traits is crucial for explaining firm resilience.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the role of CEO future temporal depth (FTD) in organizational resilience.
- To examine how CEO FTD affects firm performance during crises.
- To explore moderating effects of top management team (TMT) diversity and prior crisis experience.
Main Methods:
- Empirical analysis of 462 S&P500 firms during the Global Financial Crisis and COVID-19 pandemic.
- Quantitative assessment of CEO future temporal depth (FTD).
- Statistical modeling to link FTD, TMT diversity, crisis experience, economic losses, and recovery time.
Main Results:
- A longer CEO FTD is associated with less severe economic losses during crises.
- Conversely, a longer CEO FTD correlates with a longer recovery period.
- Functionally diverse TMTs mitigate losses, while prior crisis experience shortens recovery time.
Conclusions:
- CEO FTD is a significant cognitive antecedent of organizational resilience.
- FTD influences both the impact and duration of recovery from adversity.
- Integrating cognitive and experiential factors offers a nuanced understanding of organizational resilience and CEO leadership.
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