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Bayesian Aggregation Improves Traditional Single-Image Crop Classification Approaches.
Ivan Matvienko1, Mikhail Gasanov2, Anna Petrovskaia2
1Yandex LLC, 119021 Moscow, Russia.
This study introduces a Bayesian method for aggregating crop classification results from satellite images, improving accuracy in agricultural commodity forecasting. The new approach enhances field-wise crop identification over traditional methods.
Area of Science:
- Agricultural Science
- Computer Science
- Data Science
Background:
- Accurate crop information aids in regulating agricultural stocks and financial market strategies.
- Machine learning, particularly with satellite imagery, is key for crop type recognition.
- Challenges include class imbalance and aggregating pixel-level data for field-level predictions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and evaluate a Bayesian methodology for aggregating crop classification results.
- To compare different class balancing techniques for crop classification.
- To assess classical machine learning and U-Net performance against a Bayesian approach for single-satellite-image crop classification.
Main Methods:
- Comparison of various class balancing techniques.
- Evaluation of classical machine learning algorithms and the U-Net convolutional neural network for crop classification using single satellite images.
- Implementation and assessment of a Bayesian aggregation methodology for field-wise classification.
Main Results:
- The best single-satellite-image crop classification achieved 77.4% overall accuracy and a 0.66 Macro F1-score.
- Bayesian aggregation improved field-wise classification results by 1.5% compared to majority voting.
- The Bayesian aggregation approach demonstrated superior overall accuracy over majority voting and averaging strategies.
Conclusions:
- The proposed Bayesian aggregation methodology enhances the accuracy of field-wise crop classification.
- This approach offers a significant improvement over traditional aggregation methods like majority voting.
- Accurate crop classification using satellite imagery and advanced aggregation techniques is crucial for agricultural management and financial markets.

