Probabilistic edge inference of gene networks with markov random field-based bayesian learning

Current algorithms for gene regulatory network construction based on Gaussian graphical models focuses on the deterministic decision of whether an edge exists. Both the probabilistic inference of edge existence and the relative strength of edges are often overlooked, either because the computational algorithms cannot account for this uncertainty or because it is not straightforward in implementation. In this study, we combine the Bayesian Markov random field and the conditional autoregressive (CAR) model to tackle simultaneously these two tasks. The uncertainty of edge existence and the relative strength of edges can be measured and quantified based on a Bayesian model such as the CAR model and the spike-and-slab lasso prior. In addition, the strength of the edges can be utilized to prioritize the importance of the edges in a network graph. Simulations and a glioblastoma cancer study were carried out to assess the proposed model's performance and to compare it with existing methods when a binary decision is of interest. The proposed approach shows stable performance and may provide novel structures with biological insights.