MMP-9/BDNF ratio predicts more severe COVID-19 outcomes

COVID-19 clinically manifests from asymptomatic to the critical range. Immune response provokes the pro-inflammatory interactions, which lead to the cytokines, reactive oxygen/nitrogen species, peptidases, and arachidonic acid metabolites enlargement and activation of coagulation components. Matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) contribute to tissue destruction in the development of COVID-19. Due to the endothelial, systemic course of the disease, VEGF A participates actively in COVID-19 development, while neurotrophic and metabolic effects of BDNF recommends for the prediction of complications in COVID-19 patients. Searching for a marker that would improve and simplify the ranking in COVID-19, the study intended to evaluate the relationship of MMP-9 with VEGF A, BDNF, and MMP-8 with the COVID-19 severity. Upon admission to the hospital and before the therapy administration, 77 patients were classified into a mild, moderate, severe, or critical group. Due to the inflammatory stage in COVID-19, a comparison between groups showed related differences in leukocytes, neutrophils, lymphocytes, and platelets counts as anticipated. Only in seriously ill patients, there is a significant increase in the serum concentration of MMP-9, MMP-8, and VEGF A, while BDNF values did not show significant variations between groups. However, all those parameters positively correlated with each other. The ratio of MMP-9/BDNF markedly decreased in the severe and critically patients compared to the mild group. Testing the capability of this ratio to predict the COVID-19 stage by ROC curves, we found the MMP-9/BDNF could be a suitable marker for differentiating stages I/II (AUC 0.7597), stage I/III (AUC 0.9011), and stage I/IV (AUC 0.7727). Presented data describe for the first time the high-level systemic MMP-9/BDNF ratio in patients with COVID-19. This parameter could contribute to a more precise determination of the phase of the disease.