Optimizing Drug Response Study Design in Patient-Derived Tumor Xenografts

Patient-derived tumor xenograft (PDX) models were used to evaluate the effectiveness of preclinical anticancer agents. A design using 1 mouse per patient per drug (1 × 1 × 1) was considered practical for large-scale drug efficacy studies. We evaluated modifiable parameters that could increase the statistical power of this design based on our consolidated PDX experiments. Real studies were used as a reference to investigate the relationship between statistical power with treatment effect size, inter-mouse variation, and tumor measurement frequencies. Our results showed that large effect sizes could be detected at a significance level of .2 or .05 under a 1 × 1 × 1 design. We found that the minimum number of mice required to achieve 80% power at an alpha level of .05 under all situations explored was 21 mice per group for a small effect size and 5 mice per group for a medium effect size.