Serum NfL but not GFAP predicts cognitive decline in active progressive multiple sclerosis patients

Cognitive decline is inadequately captured by the standard neurological examination. Serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (sGFAP) are biomarkers of neuronal damage and astrocytic reactivity that may offer an accessible measure of the multiple sclerosis (MS) pathology linked to cognitive decline.

To investigate the association of sNfL and sGFAP with cognitive decline in MS patients at high risk for progressive pathology.

We included 94 MS patients with sustained Expanded Disability Status Score (EDSS) ⩾ 3, available serum samples and cognitive assessment performed by symbol digit modalities test (SDMT) over a median of 3.1 years. The visit for sGFAP/sNfL quantification was at confirmed EDSS ⩾ 3. Linear regression analysis on log-transformed sGFAP/sNfL assessed the association with current and future SDMT. Analyses were adjusted for age, sex, EDSS, treatment group, and recent relapse.

sNfL was significantly associated with concurrent SDMT (adjusted change in mean SDMT = -4.5; 95% confidence interval (CI): -8.7, -0.2; p = 0.039) and predicted decline in SDMT (adjusted change in slope: -1.14; 95% CI: -1.83, -0.44; p = 0.001), particularly in active patients. sGFAP was not associated with concurrent or future SDMT.

Higher levels of sNfL were associated with cognitive impairment and predicted cognitive decline in MS patients at high risk for having an underlying progressive pathology.