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Cardiac Structure and Function Phenogroups and Risk of Incident Heart Failure (from the Multi-ethnic Study of
Michael M Hammond1, Lindsay R Pool1, Amy E Krefman1
1Department of Preventive Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois.
Insights
Cardiac phenogroups identified using cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging predict heart failure (HF) risk in men. These data-driven groupings highlight differential HF risk, particularly in men, aiding in risk stratification.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Medical Imaging
- Data Science
Background:
- Cardiac structure and function indices like left ventricular (LV) mass and ejection fraction are linked to heart failure (HF) risk.
- The clinical significance of grouping diverse cardiac parameters using data-driven approaches remains unclear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To define distinct cardiac phenogroups using latent class analysis based on cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging (CMR) parameters.
- To assess the association between these phenogroups and the risk of incident HF subtypes, stratified by gender.
Main Methods:
- Latent class analysis applied to CMR data from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) participants.
- Gender-stratified Cox proportional hazard models used to evaluate phenogroup membership and HF risk, adjusting for confounders.
Main Results:
- Four distinct phenogroups were identified in both men and women: ideal cardiac mechanics, higher output/hypertrophied LV, impaired ejection fraction/dilated LV, and higher output/hyperdynamic LV.
- Men in three phenogroups (higher output/hypertrophied LV, impaired ejection fraction/dilated LV, higher output/hyperdynamic LV) showed significantly higher rates of incident HF compared to the ideal group.
- No significant association between phenogroup membership and incident HF was observed in women.
Conclusions:
- Cardiac phenogroup membership, derived from CMR imaging, is significantly associated with incident HF risk in men.
- Integrating CMR-derived variables may enable identification of differential HF risk in men, suggesting potential for targeted prevention strategies.
Abstract:
Indices of cardiac structure and function, such as left ventricular (LV) mass and ejection fraction, have been associated with risk of incident heart failure (HF), but the clinical relevance of data-driven grouping of a comprehensive set of cardiac parameters is unclear. In Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis participants, latent class analysis was applied in the sample stratified by gender to define phenogroups on the basis of cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging parameters of right ventricular and LV structure and function at baseline. Cox proportional hazard models in gender-stratified analyses were used to assess the association between phenogroup membership and risk of HF subtypes adjusting for potential confounders. In the 4,204 participants (mean age 61 ± 10 years, 53% women), the mean follow-up time was 14 ± 4 years for men and 15 ± 4 years for women. For both genders, 4 distinct phenogroups were identified: (1) ideal cardiac mechanics; (2) higher output/hypertrophied LV; (3) impaired ejection fraction/dilated LV; and (4) higher output/hyperdynamic (LV). Men in phenogroups 4 (hazard ratio [HR] 2.91, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.60 to 5.31, p = 0.0005), 3 (HR 3.52, 95% CI 1.90 to 6.53, p <0.0001), and 2 (HR 3.49, 95% CI 1.94 to 6.28, p <0.0001) had higher rates of incident HF than did men in phenogroup 1, in fully adjusted models. No significant associations were found between phenogroup membership and incident HF in women. In conclusion, phenogroup membership based on cardiac structure and function in men was significantly associated with incident HF. Integration of cardiac magnetic resonance imaging variables may help identify differential risk for HF in men.
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